World Projections from University of Washington Study: 4-13-2020

Projections from University of Washington Study

Projected Deaths are through 8-4-2020.  Projections were supplied by IHME on 4-13-2020,

FROM:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths

US (208 deaths per million) is fifth lowest of the ten Western countries shown below.   Greece (35 per million),Germany (88 deaths per million) and Ireland (106 per million) are considerably lower. Norway (151) is also lower than USA.  Sweden (1,791) is extremely high.

United States of America—population 331 million (2020)

peak:  1,983 on 4-11-2020

Total Death Projected: (68,841 4-10-2020)  (61,545 4-10-2020)  Deaths per million: 207.98

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UNITED KINGDOM—population 66.65 million  (2019)

peak:  1,156 on 4-13-2020

Total Death Projected  (23,791 4-13-2020)  (37,494 4-10-2020)   Deaths per million: 356.95

SWEDEN—population 10.23 million (2019)

Peak:  560 on 5-8-2020

Total Death Projected  (18,322  4-13-2020)  (13,259 4-10-2020)   Deaths per million:  1,791.01

SPAIN—population 46.94 million (2019)

Peak;  950 on 4-1-2020

Total  Deaths Projected: (18,713  4-13-2020)   (18,363  4-10-2020)  Deaths per million:  398.66

NORWAY—population 5.368 million  (2019)

peak:  19 on 5-4-2020

Total Deaths Projected:  811 Deaths per million:  151.08

ITALY—population 60.36 million (2019)

peak:  969 3-27-2020

Total Deaths Projected: (21,130 4-13-2020) (20,333 4-10-2020) Deaths per million:  350.07

IRELAND—population 4.94 million  (2020)

peak:  36 on 4-7-2020

Total Deaths Projected: (527  4-13-2020) (500 4-13-2020)  Deaths per million: 106.68

GREECE—population 10,72  (2019)

peak  11 on 4-23-2020

Total Deaths Projected  (374  4-13-2020)  Deaths per million:  34.89

GERMANY—population 83.02 million  (2019)

peak:  247 on 4-12-2020

Total Deaths Projected:   (7,332 4-13-2020) (7,080 4-10-2020) Deaths per million:  88.32

FRANCE—population 65.27 million (2020)

peak:  920 on 4-6-2020

Total Projected Deaths:  (17,448  4-13-2020)  (15,741  4-10-2020) Deaths per million:  267.32

DENMARK—population 5.77 (2019)

peak 45 on 5-4-2020

Total Projected deaths (1,669 4-13-2020)  Deaths per million:  289.25