Thursday, June 25, 2020

CDC: “Coronavirus may have infected 10 times more Americans than reported”—24 million infected?

Coronavirus may have infected 10 times more Americans than reported, CDC says


Steve Holland

,

ReutersJune 25, 2020

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Coronavirus may have infected 10 times more Americans than reported, CDC says

By Steve Holland

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Government experts believe more than 20 million Americans could have contracted the coronavirus, 10 times more than official counts, indicating many people without symptoms have or have had the disease, senior administration officials said.

The estimate, from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, is based on serology testing used to determine the presence of antibodies that show whether an individual has had the disease, the officials said.

The officials, speaking to a small group of reporters on Wednesday night, said the estimate was based on the number of known cases, between 2.3 million and 2.4 million, multiplied by the average rate of antibodies seen from the serology tests, about an average of 10 to 1.

"If you multiply the cases by that ratio, that's where you get that 20 million figure," said one official.

If true, the estimate would suggest the percentage of U.S. deaths from the disease is lower than thought. More than 120,000 Americans have died from the disease since the pandemic erupted earlier this year.

The estimate comes as government officials note that many new cases are showing up in young people who do not exhibit symptoms and may not know they have it.

Officials said young people with no symptoms, but who are in regular contact with vulnerable populations, should proactively get tested to make sure they do not spread it.

"We have heard from Florida and Texas that roughly half of the new cases that are reporting are people under the age of 35, and many of them are asymptomatic," one official said.

The CDC has sent 40 response teams to help deal with the outbreaks, they said.

More than 36,000 new cases of COVID-19 were recorded nationwide on Wednesday, just shy of the record 36,426 on April 24, concentrated on states that were spared the brunt of the initial outbreak or moved early to lift restrictions aimed at curbing the virus' spread.

(Reporting by Steve Holland; Editing by Lisa Shumaker)

Above is from:  https://www.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-may-infected-10-times-171947400.html

New US case surpass April peak

New U.S. COVID-19 cases surpass peak set in April as states rethink strategy


Christopher Wilson

Senior Writer

,

Yahoo NewsJune 25, 2020

As the coronavirus pandemic is about to enter its seventh month, COVID-19 continues to surge in parts of the U.S. — even as it eases in some states and other countries — setting record highs and filling up hospitals across numerous states.

On Thursday, the governor of Texas, one of the hardest-hit states, said he would pause the process of reopening businesses and institutions. 

According to tracking from NBC News, Wednesday saw the U.S.’s highest-ever single-day number of new cases, with more than 45,000. The previous peak was on April 26. There is positive news in that the death rate is declining, possibly reflecting the fact that many of the new patients are younger. But deaths lag new cases by several weeks to months, and there is a worrisome sign in the rise in cases requiring hospitalization. According to tracking numbers from Johns Hopkins University, the U.S. has had more than 122,000 deaths and 2.4 million positive cases, far more than any other nation. As cases in Europe fall, calls to ban travel from the U.S. until the virus is under control here have increased.

Among the states setting new daily records this week are California, Arizona, Texas and Florida. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention documents obtained by Yahoo News show that most counties in these states were on a downward trajectory a month ago but now are almost all showing the opposite. Another map, by the Departments of Health and Human Services and Homeland Security, shows that as of June 21, 19 states had at least partially reopened (or never had statewide closures in the first place) while cases were still rising, despite CDC guidelines calling for at least two weeks of falling case numbers before the process was started.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

At this point the virus is not spiking in places that were previously hit hard, such as New York state, where cases continue to drop — despite concerns earlier this month that the massive Black Lives Matter protests would result in a new spike.

Multiple outlets reported Wednesday that the White House planned to close 13 federally funded testing sites at the end of the month. This news comes amid reports that testing capacity in some states is “overwhelmed.” The New York Times reported that last Friday the largest lab in Arizona received more than twice as many samples as it could process, and that hundreds of appointments at a large testing facility on the state fairgrounds are reserved within minutes of opening every morning.

Despite the rise in cases across the state, a couple of hundred demonstrators turned out in Scottsdale to protest the city’s new mandatory mask rule. A city councilman, Guy Phillips, removed his mask, saying, “I can’t breathe” — mocking both the public health order and the Black Lives Matter protests over the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis. Republican Gov. Doug Ducey called Phillips’s comments “just flat out wrong” and said that “despicable doesn’t go far enough” in describing them. Ducey has refused to mandate mask wearing, instead merely suggesting that citizens don them. He called it “an issue of personal responsibility” and “[asked] Arizonans to make responsible decisions to protect the most vulnerable in our communities.”

Seven of the federal testing sites set to close are in Texas, which has been ravaged by the disease in recent weeks. As some of the state’s ICUs approach full capacity, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott issued an executive order Thursday morning attempting to increase the number of hospital beds in the state’s largest counties by banning elective surgeries. While Abbott has urged Texans to both wear masks and stay home while allowing local authorities to require them for employees and patrons of businesses, he has not issued a statewide mandate.

The Texas Tribune noted that the test positivity-rate benchmark Abbott set when reopening the state in May has been breached, with more than 10 percent of tests coming back positive, a marker he had previously called a “warning flag.” Abbott began reopening Texas on May 1, making him one of the first governors to take that step. On Thursday he announced a “temporary pause” in reopening but will allow businesses already open — including bars, bowing alleys and amusement parks — to remain so.

“The outlook is not good,” said Rebecca Fischer, an infectious disease epidemiologist at the Texas A&M University School of Public Health. “We are in a super-dire situation.”

On Tuesday, Florida recorded 5,508 positive tests, shattering the previous single-day high by more than 1,400 and setting a record-high infection rate of 15.9 percent. The state’s hospital beds are beginning to fill. About 81 percent of adult intensive care unit beds were full as of Wednesday.

While the Palm Beach County commissioners voted to make masks mandatory, a clip from their meeting went viral Wednesday showing citizens opposing masks by promoting wild conspiracy theories.

President Trump at a rally in Tulsa, Okla., last Saturday. (Go Nakamura/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

President Trump at a rally in Tulsa, Okla., last Saturday. (Go Nakamura/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Tulsa, Okla., also saw a record daily high of new cases on Wednesday, days after President Trump held an indoor rally in the city despite pleas by city health officials to postpone the event, which was held in a 19,000-seat arena that was two-thirds empty. Tulsa Health Department Executive Director Bruce Dart said it was too soon to know the full effect of the rally, but the Washington Post reported Wednesday that dozens of Secret Service officers will be quarantined after two tested positive for the virus.

Trump has taken to minimizing and joking about the pandemic, complaining — illogically, in light of the rising rate of positive tests — that the increase in cases is an artifact of doing more testing, and calling it the “kung flu” to call attention to its origins in China.

At a rally in Arizona Tuesday, he pretended, or admitted, he didn’t understand the name for the disease: “COVID. COVID-19. COVID. I said, ‘What's the 19?’ ‘COVID-19.’ Some people can’t explain what the 19 — give me the — COVID-19. I said, ‘That’s an odd name.’ I could give you many, many names. Some people call it the ‘Chinese flu,’ the ‘China flu.’ Right? They call it the ‘China,’ as opposed to ‘Chi-’ — the ‘China.’ I’ve never seen anything like it.”

The name is a contraction of “coronavirus disease 2019,” reflecting the year the first cases were discovered.

As he has continually done throughout the pandemic, Trump predicted that it and the resulting lockdowns would end soon — his first target date was Easter — and that the economy would bounce back. “But here’s the story: We are going to be stronger than ever before, and it’s going to be soon,” he said.

* Jana Winter contributed reporting.

Above is from:  https://www.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-cases-united-states-record-highs-arizona-florida-texas-155529008.html

June 25: 894 new COVID-19 cases in Illinois


COVID-19
Positive (Confirmed)
139,434  +894
Deaths
6810  +40
Total Tests
1,460,527  +31,868
Total Cases
(139,434  6-25-2020) (138,540  6-24-2020) (137,825  6-23-2020) (137,224  6-22-2020) (136,762  6-21-2020) (136,104  6-20-2020) (135,470  6-19-2020) (134,778  6-18-2020) (134,185  6-17-2020) (133,639  6-16-2020} (133,016  (-15-2020) (132,543  6-14-2020) (131,871  6-13-2020) (131,198  6-12-2020) (130,603  6-11-2020) (129,837  (6-10-2020)  (129,212  6-9-2020) (128,415  6-8-2020) (127,757  6-7-2020) (126,890  6-6-2020) (125,915  6-5-2020) (124,759  6-4-2020) (123,830  6-3-2020) (122,848  6-2-2020) (121,234  6-1-2020) (120,260  5-31-2020) (118,917  5-30-3030) (117,455  5-29-2020) 115,833  5-28-2020) (114,306  5-27-2020) (113,195  5-26-2020)(112,017  2-25-2020) (110,304  5-24-2020) (107,796  5-23-2020) (105,444  5-22-2020) (102,686 5-21-2020) 100,418  5-20-2020) (98,030  5-19-2020) (96,485  5-18-2020)  (94,191  5-17-2020)  (92,457  5-16-2020) (90,369 5-15-2020) (87,937  5-14-2020) (84,698  5-13-2020) (83,021  5-12-2020)(79,007  5-11-2020) (77,741 5-10-2020)  (76,085  5-9-2020)(73,760  5-8-2020)(70,873 5-7-2020)(68,232  5-6-2020) (65,962  5-5-2020)  (63,840  5-4-2020) (61,499 5-3-2020) (58,505  5-2-2020)  56,055 5-1-2020) (52,918  4-30-2020) (50,355  4-29-3030) (48,102 4-28-2020) (45,883  4-27-2020) (43,903  4-26-2020) ( 41,777  4-25-2020) (39,658  4-24-2020)  (36,934 4-23-2020)  (35,108 4-22-2020)(33,059  4-21-2020) (31,508  4-20-2020) (30,357 4-19-2020)  (29,160  4-18-2020)  (27,575  4-17-2020) (25,733  4-16-2020)  (24,593 4-15-2020)  (23,247 4-14-2020)  (22,025 4-13-2020)  (20,852 4-12-2020) (19,180 4-11-2020 ) (17,887 4-10-2020) (16,422 4-9-2020) (15,078 4-8-2020) (13,549 4-7-2020) (12,262 4-6-2020) (11,256 4-5-2020) (10,357 4/4/2020) (8,904-- 4/3/2020) (7,695-- 4/2/2020)   (6,980-- 4/1/2020) (5,994-- 3/31/2020)  (5,05--7 3/30/2020) (4,596-- 3/29/2020)

Deaths

(6810  6-25-2020) (6770  6-24-2020) (6707  6-23-2020) 6671  6-22-2020)  (6647  6-21-2020) (6625  6-20-2020) (6580  6-19-2020) (6537  6-18-2020) (6485  6-17-2020) (6398  6-16-2020) (6326  6*15*2020) (6308  6-14-2020) (6289  6-13-2020)  (6260  6-12-2020) (6185  6-11-2020) (6095  6-10-2020) (6018  6-9-2020) (5924  6-8-2020) (5904  6-7-2020) (5864  6-6-2020) (5795  6-5-2020) (5739  6-4-2020) (5621  6-3-2020) (5525  6-2-2020) (5412  6-1-2020)   ((5390  5-31-2020)  (5330  5-30-2020) (5270  5-29-2020)  (5186  5-28-2020) (5083  5-27-2020) (4923  5-26-2020) (4884  5-25-2020) (4856  5-24-2020) (4790 5-23-2020) (4713  5-22-2020) (4607  5-21-2020) (4525 5-20-2020)(4,379 5-19-2020) (4,234  5-18-2020) (4,177  5-17-2020) (4129 5-16-2020) (4,058  5-15-2020) (3,928  5-14-2020) (3,792 5-13-2020) (3,601 5-12-2020)  (3,459  5-11-2020) (3,406 5-10-2020) (3349 5-9-2020) (3,241 5-8-2020) (3,111  5-7-2020)(2,974  5-6-2020) ((2,838 5-5-2020)  (2662 5-4-2020) (2,618 5-3-2020) (2,559 5-2-2020) (2,457 5-1-2020) (2,355  4-30-2020) (2,215  4-29-2020)  (2,125  4-28-2020) (1,983  4-27-2020) (1,933 4-26-2020 )(1,874  4-25-2020) 1,795  4-22-2020) (1,688  2-23-2020) (1,585 4-22-2020) (1,468  4-21-2020) (1,349 4-20-2020)(1,290 4-18-2020)  (1,259  4-18-2020) (1,134  4-17-2020) (1,072  4-16-2020) (948 4-15-2020)  (866 4-14-2020) (794 4-13-2020)  (720 4-12-2020) (677 4-11-2020)(596 4-10-2020) (528 4-9-2020) (462 4-8-2020) (380 4-7-2020)(307 4-6-2020) (274 4-5-2020) (243—4-4-2020) 147(210-- 4-3-2020) (157 4-2-2020)(141 4/1/2020) (99 3/31/2020) (73 3/30/2020)  (65 3/29/2020)
Total Persons Tested*
(1,460,527  6-25-2020) (1,428,841  6-24-2020) (1,399,510 6-23-2020)  (1,379,003  6-22-2020) (1,360,7846-21-2020)  (1,336,968  6-20-2020) (1,311,003  6-19-2020) (1,283,832  6-18-2020) (1(258,328 6-17-2020)  1,228,341  6-16-2020) (1,209,612  6-15-2020)  (1,190,985  6-14-2020) (1,168,945  6-13-2020) (1,147,101  6-12-2020)  1,122,327  6-11-2020) (1,100,002  6-10-2020) (1,079,182  6-9-2020) (1,058,873  6-8-2020)  (1,042,774  6-72020) (1,022,074  6-6-2020) (1,000,919  6-5-2020) (982,016  6-4-2020)  ,(959,175  6-3-2020) (934,704  6-2-2020)  (918,273  6-1-20200 (898,259  5-31-2020) (877,105  5-30-2020)  (851,762  5-29-2020) (829,966  5-28-2020) (803,973  5-27-2020) (786,794  5-26-2020) (769,564  5-25-2020) (747,921  5-22-2020) (722,247  5-23-2020) (697,133  5-22-2020) (672,020 5-21-2020) (642,713 5-20-2020)(621,684  5-19-2020) (603,241 5-18-2020) (581,944  5-17-2020) (561,649  5-16-2020) (538,602 5-15-2020) (512,037  5-14-2020)  (489,359  5-13-2020)(471,691 5-12-2020) (442,425  5-11-2020) ,258,328,(429,984  5-10-2020) (416,331 5-9-2020)  (399,714 5-8-2020)  (379,033 5-7-2020)(361,260 5-6-2020) (346,286 5-5-20200 (333,147  5-4-2020) (319,313  5-3-2020) (299,892 5-2-2020)  (284,688  5-1-2020) (269,867 4-30-2020) (256,667  4-29-2020) (242,189  4-28-2020) (227,628  4-27-2020) (214,952 4-26-2020) (201,617 4-25-2020) (186,219  4-24-2020)(173,316 4-23-2020) (164,346 4-22-2020)  (154,997  4-21-2020) (148,358 4-20-2020) (143,318 4-19-2020)  (137,404  4-18-2020) (130,163  4-17-2020)  (122,589  4-16-2020)  (116,929 4-15-2020) (110,616 4-14-2020)  (105,768 4-13-2020) (100,735 4-12-2020) (92,779 4-11-2020) (87,527 4-10-2020) (86,857 4-9-2020) (75,066 4-8-2020) (68,732 4-7-2020) (62,942 4-6-2020) (58,983 4-5-2020) (53,581—4-4-2020)  (48,048-- 4-3-2020) (43,653-- 4/2/2020) (40,384-- 4/1/2020) (35,225-- 3-31-2020) (30,446-- 3/30/2020)  (27,762-- 3/29/2020)

*Total number of people reported electronically for testing of COVID-19 at IDPH, commercial or hospital laboratories. Deaths are included in the number of positive cases
All numbers displayed are provisional and subject to change.

Information to be updated daily.

Above is from: http://www.dph.illinois.gov/covid19/covid19-statistics

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Home


PROJECTIONS from:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths Now being updated three times per week.

As 0f 2-20-2020  range of projected deaths was 5,542 to 14,095 with mean projection of 8781.

Total COVID-19 deaths projected through October 1, 2020 in Illinois.  A 2.57% increase in projection from June 15’s. (8487 6-24-2020) (8274 6-15-2020) (7462  6-10-2020)  (7381 6-8-2020*) (6371 5-29-2020) (7628 5-26-2020) (8,781 5-18-2020) (7,830 5-12-2020) (7395 5-10-2020)(6,353 5-4-2020)  (2,337  4-29-2020)   (2,316 4-27-2020)  (2093 4-21-2020) (2,259 4-15-2020) (1248 4-13-2020)

(777 4-10-2020)  (1,584  4-8-2020) (3,629 4-5-2020)(3,386 4-2-2020) (2,789 4-1-2020)  (2,326  3-31-2020)  (2,369 as of 3/30/2020)  (2,454 AS OF 3-26-2020)

COVID-19 deaths   Peak deaths  (95 deaths on 4-19-2020)               Previously (91 deaths on 4-12-2020)  (208 on 4-12-2020) (109 on 4-20-2020)

Illinois Population:  12.74 million        Projected deaths per million: 585.71

*  August 4 end date was used for 6-8-2020 and earlier projections

For a lengthier discussion of the projection model go to:  http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/03/forecasting-covid-19-impact-on-hospital.html and http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/05/why-imhs-corvid-19-model-is-so-wrong.html

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BOONE COUNTY

This page summarizes the latest data for COVID-19 in McHenry County. This data is provisional and subject to change.

 


McHenry County
COVID-19 Dashboard


This page summarizes the latest data for COVID-19 in McHenry County. This data is provisional and subject to change.
The data provided on this dashboard is updated daily between 4:00pm and 6:00pm. The data is provisional and subject to change upon completion of the investigation for each locally reported case to the McHenry County Department of Health (MCDH), MCDH reports investigation data to the Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) through the Illinois-National Electronic Disease Surveillance System (I-NEDSS) on a continual basis. Based on when IDPH accesses the information, the reports issued at the State level may be different from what is being reported at the local level.

McHenry County Confirmed Cases


1,957


McHenry County Confirmed Deaths


95


McHenry County Recovery Rate (%)


93%


McHenry County Probable Cases


48


McHenry County Probable Deaths


2


.



Above is from:  https://mchenry-county-coronavirus-response-mchenrycountygis.hub.arcgis.com/

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Winnebago County

WINNEBAGO COUNTY (WREX) — Winnebago County hit a positive milestone on Monday surrounding the coronavirus crisis; it's the longest stretch with no COVID-19 deaths the county has seen.

So far, a total of 85 people have died from the virus in Winnebago County.

However, the death toll has not changed in 7 days, or the longest stretch since the county saw its first fatality back in March.

On Monday, Winnebago County Health Department Director Dr. Sandra Martell said she's cautiously optimistic about the numbers, but is hopeful the death rate will stay down.

Also during a news briefing, Dr. Martell stressed the importance of businesses following the strict reopening guidelines during the pandemic as the county prepares to move into Phase 4 of reopening.

She said any business not following the rules will be called out publicly.

"Winnebago County Health Department moving forward will post the names of establishments when there are more validated complaints and any establishment that has been issued an order of closure on our website
we want the community to know those facilities and establishments that have not been compliance so consumers can make that choice" said Dr. Martell.

County health officials say the number one complaint it receives on the COVID-19 hotline is about businesses not enforcing masks and social distancing requirements.

Winnebago County surpassed 2,900 total cases of COVID-19 on Monday after the health department reported 19 new cases, bringing its total number of cases up to 2,903 since the pandemic began. The county sits at 85 deaths and a 94 percent recovery rate.


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Cases in U.S.

Updated  June 24, 2020
U.S. At A Glance

As of June 23, 2020

Total Cases

2,336,615  +34,313

Total Deaths

121,117  +784

This page will be updated daily. Numbers close out at 4 p.m. the day before reporting

***On Saturday and Sunday, the numbers in COVID-19: U.S. at a Glance and the figure describing the cumulative total number of COVID-departments. CDC will update weekend numbers the following Monday to reflect health department updates.***

CDC is responding to an outbreak of respiratory illness caused by a novel (new) coronavirus. The outbreak first started in Wuhan, China, but cases have been identified in a growing number of other locations internationally, including the United States. In addition to CDC, many public health laboratories are now testing for the virus that causes COVID-19.

COVID-19: U.S. at a Glance*†

  • Total cases (2,336,615  6-24-2020)  (2,302,288  6-23-2020) (2,275,645  6-22-2020) (2,248,029  6-21-2020) ( 2,215,618 6-20-2020) (2,178,710  6-192020) (2,155,572  6-18-2020) (2,132,321  6-17-2020)  (2,104,346  6-16-2020) (2,085,769  6-15-2020) (2,063,812  6-14-2020) (2,038,344  6-13-2020) (2,016,027  6-12-2020)(1,994,283  6-11-2020) (1,973,797  6-10-2020)  (1,956,421  6-9-2020)  (1,938,823  6-8-2020) (1,920,904  6-7-2020) (1,891,690  6-6-2020) (1,862,656  6-5-2020) (1,827,425  6-3-2020) (1,802,470  6-2-2020) (1,787,680  6-1-2020) (1,761,530  5-30-2020) (1,719,827  5-29-2020) (1,678,843  5-27-2020)  (1,662,414  5-26-2020) (1,637,456 5-25-2020)  (1,622,114  5-24-2020)(1,595,858 5-23-2020) (1,571,617  5-22-2020)(1,551,095 5-21-2020) (1,528,235 5-20-2020)(1,504 030  5-19-2020) (1.480,349   5-18-2020),(1,467,065  5-17-2020) (1,435,098 5-16-2020)  (1,412,121  5-15-2020) (1,384,930  5-14-2020) (1,364,061 5-13-2020) (1,342,594  5-12-2020) (1,324,488  5-11-20200  (1,300,696  5-10-2020) (1,274,036  5-9-2020) (1,248,040 5-8-2020) (1,219,066  5-7-2020)(1,193,)  (1,005,147  4-28-2020) (957,875  4-27-2020) (928,619  4-26-2020)  (895,766  4-25-2020)   (865,585 4-24-2020)   (829,441   4-23-2020) (802,583  4-22-2020) (776,093 4-21-2020) (746,625 4-20-2020) (720,630 4-19-2020)  (661,712 4-17-2020)  (632,548 4-16-2020)  (605,390 4-15-2020) (579,005 4-14-2020)  (554,849 4-13-2020) (525,704 4-12-2020)  (492,416 4-11-2020)(459,165 4-10-2020) (427,460 4-9-2020) (395,011 4-8-2020)(374,329 4-7-2020) (330,891 4-6-2020) (304,826 4-5-2020) (277,205 4-4-2020) (239,279 4-3-2020) (213,144 4/2/2020)(186,101 4/1/2020) (163,539 3/31/2020) (140,904 3/30/2020)   (122,653  3-29-2020)
  • Total deaths (121,117  +784) (120,333  6-23-2020)  (119,923  6-22-2020) (119,615  6-21-202)  (119,055  6-20-2020)  (118,365  6-19-2020) (117,632  6-18-2020)  (116,862  6-17-2020) (116,140  6-16-2020) (115,644  6-15-2020) (115,271 6-14-2020)  (114,625  6-13-2020)  (113,914  6-20-2020) (112,967  6-11-2020) (112,133  6-10-2020) (110,925  6-9-2020) (110,375  6-8-2020)  (109,901 6-7—2020)  (109,192  6-6-2020) (108,064  6-5-2020) (106,202  6-3-2020)  (105,157  6-2-2(2020) (104,396  6-1-2020)  (103,700 5-30-2020) (101,711  5-29-2020) (99,031  5-27-2020)  (98,261  5-26-2020)(97,669  5-25-2020)  (97,049  2-24-2020) (96,002 5-23-2020) (94,150 5-22-2020) (93,061  5-21-2020) (91,664 5-20-2020) (90,340 5-19-2020)  (89,407  5-18-2020) (88,709  5-17-2020)  (87,315  5-16-2020)  (85,990  5-20-2020) (83,947 5-15-2020) (82,246  5-13-2020)  (80,820  5-12-2020) (79,756  5-11-2020) (78,771  5-10-2020) (77,034  5-9-2020) (75,477  5-8-2020) (73,297  5-7-2020) (70,802 5-6-2020)  (68,279 5-5-2020) (67,456  5-4-2020)  (64,283  5-2-2020)  (62,405 5-1-2020)  (60,057  4-30-2020) (57,505  4-28-2020)  (53,922 4-27-2020) (52,459  4-26-2020)  (50,439 4-25-2020) (48,816  4-24-2020) (46,379 4-23-2020) (44,575 4-22-2020)  (41,759 4-21-2020) (39,083 4-20-2020)  (37,202 4-19-2020)  (33,049 4-17-2020)  (31,071 4-16-2020) (24,582 4-15-2020) (22,252 4-14-2020) (21,942 4-13-2020)  (20,486 4-12-2020)  (18,559 4-11-2020) (16,570 4-10-2020) (14,696 4-9-2020) (12,754 4-8-2020) (12,064 4-7-2020) (8,910 4-6-2020)(7,616 4-5-2020)  (6, 593 4-4-2020) (5,443 4-3-2020) (4,513 4-2-2020) (3,603 4-1-2020) (2,860 3/31/2020) (2,405 3/30/2020)   (2,112  3-29-2020)
  • Jurisdictions reporting cases: 55 (50 states, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Guam, Northern Marianas, and US Virgin Islands)

* Data include both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan. State and local public health departments are now testing and publicly reporting their cases. In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date.

† Numbers updated Saturday and Sunday are not confirmed by state and territorial health departments. These numbers will be modified when numbers are updated on Monday.(

Cases of COVID-19 Reported in the US, by Source of Exposure*†

* Data include both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan. State and local public health departments are now testing and publicly reporting their cases. In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date.

† CDC is no longer reporting the number of persons under investigation (PUIs) that have been tested, as well as PUIs that have tested negative. Now that states are testing and reporting their own results, CDC’s numbers are not representative of all testing being done nationwide.

Above is from:  https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

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PROJECTIONS:   US COVID-19 Deaths thru 10-1-2020) A 10.95% decrease since June 15’s projection.(179,106 6-24-2020) (201,129  6-15-2020)  (169,890  6-10-2020) (145,728*  6-8-2020)  (135,109 5-29-2020)  (131,967  5-26-2020) (143,357 5-18-2020)  (147,040 5-12-2020)  (137,184 5-10-2020) (134,475 5-4-2020)  (72,433   4-29-2020)  (74,073 4-27-2020) (65,976 4-21-2020)  (60,308 4-15-2020) (68,841 4-13-2020)  (61,543 4-10-2020) (60,415 4-8-2020) (81,766 4-5-2020) (93,531 4/3/2020) (93,765 4/1/2020)   (83.967 3/31/2020)    ( 82,141 3/30/2020);  Peak Daily    (2150 4-13-2020)

Older Peak Daily Deaths (2,212 on 4-12-2010)  (1,983 on 4-11-2020)  (2,644 on 4-16-2020)(3,130 on 4-16-2020) ( 2214 on 3/31/2020) (2,214 on 3/31/2 020) (2,271 3/30/2020)

*August 4 was used for projected end date deaths prior to June 10’s projections.

US Population:  331 million    Projected deaths per million: 398.69

FROM:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths Now being updated three times per week

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COVID-19 Tracker   Great site to find specific county, state, country numbers is at:  https://bing.com/covid?form=msntrk  Site supplies case numbers, recovered cases and deaths by country and US state.

World

Total confirmed cases

Updated 4 min ago

9,494,571

+256,880

Active cases

4,227,506

Recovered cases

4,782,910

+169,485

Fatal cases

484,155

+7,244



Masks do work

New forecast: 180,000 U.S. deaths of COVID-19 by October. But mask order can save 33,000

Elinor Aspegren, USA TODAY

,

USA TODAYJune 24, 2020

Experts have now forecast that there will be 179,106 COVID-19 deaths in the United States by Oct. 1. But a universal mask-wearing order in the US could save as many as 33,000 lives.

The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation released a model Wednesday with a range of 159,497 to 213,715 deaths nationwide.

Institute Director Dr. Chris Murray, however, said that mask wearing has a “profound effect” on the epidemic.

Wearing a mask “is extremely low-cost, and, for the individual, provides a 1/3 — as high as one half — reduction in the risk of transmission,” he said in a video press release. “But at the community level, can save an extraordinary number of lives.”

The projection comes as more than 36,000 new infections were reported Wednesday by state health departments, passing the previous record of 34,203 single-day infections set on April 25.

While the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention advised “the use of simple cloth face coverings to slow the spread of the virus” in April, in recent weeks states have  started to relax their policies.

Mask-wearing has become politicized, with anti-mask rallies held in Arizona even as Gov. Doug Ducey gave local communities the authority to require masks last week, and both Scottsdale Mayor Jim Lane and the Phoenix City Council issued mask mandates this week.

In Washington Tuesday, Gov. Jay Inslee announced a statewide mandate requiring facial coverings in public to slow the spread of COVID-19, while on Wednesday, North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper signed an executive order requiring face coverings in public.

Arizona hospitals on Tuesday reported the highest-ever number of beds and ventilators used for confirmed or suspected COVID-19 patients, reported the Arizona Republic, a USA TODAY Network publication. Arizona’s stay-at-home order expired mid-May.

But as of mid-June, wearing face masks in public has prevented up to 450,000 new cases, according to a study by Health Affairs journal.

Face masks work.They need to be mandatory

In a Facebook live with the Sacramento Press Club Wednesday, the nation's top infectious disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci said that "everybody should wear a mask when out in public."

"It should not be a political issue," he added. "It is purely a public health issue. Forget the politics, look at the data."

Arizona, California, Texas, Florida, Oklahoma and South Carolina reported record-high daily coronavirus cases this week, as case counts continue to rise in more than half of U.S. states.

Murray said, however, deaths are not yet rising at the same rate as infections.

"States reporting the ages of confirmed cases suggest there are more cases being detected in younger people who are at substantially lower risk of death than older people," Murray said. "It remains to be seen how this will unfold over the next few weeks, and if transmission continues to go up, we may see increasing infections in at-risk populations."

The CDC said that “a cloth face covering may not protect the wearer, but it may keep the wearer from spreading the virus to others.” By wearing a cloth covering in public, the spread of the virus can be slowed by lessening the transmission to others.

The CDC has also released instructions on creating homemade masks.

“Simple cloth face coverings can be made at home and may help prevent the spread of COVID-19,” the site reads.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Coronavirus deaths projected high if no mask order

Above is from;  https://www.yahoo.com/news/forecast-180-000-u-deaths-014130848.html

BYA Peace March—Saturday June 27

Saturday, June 27th:

9:30am - Peace Rally and Solidarity Walk hosted by the Belvidere Social Justice & Peace Society

5:00pm - Saturday Night Stroll on Buchanan Street

All Day - Paint on State at Home


Above is from Facebook:  https://www.facebook.com/groups/973417279741156/?post_id=982946962121521

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Details

48 people responded

Saturday at 9:30 AM – 11:30 AM

Belvidere Community Building

Belvidere Social Justice & Peace Society

Tickets:

belvideresocialjustice.org

Please join us standing with our city officials and community in a walk of solidarity and peace.

We will be gathering rain or shine, feel free to bring an umbrella if there is a chance of changes in weather.

The Peace Rally will begin at the Belvidere Community Building, 111 W 1st Street. Members of our community will walk side by side with city officials to State Street bridge and route back to the Community Building.

There will be special guest speakers to address unity, solidarity, and reasons why our members feel that this is a necessary time for all our voices to heard.

We will be provided a table where you can register to vote for this upcoming election. WE ENCOURAGE ALL PEOPLE 17 AND OVER TO REGISTER TO VOTE. WE CAN HELP YOU. If you have any questions please reach out to one of our team members or check out these awesome resources to learn how YOUR VOTE MATTERS.
https://www.vote.org/

TO REGISTER TO VOTE ONLINE-
https://ova.elections.il.gov/

Please we aware that we are still required to do our best to follow the CDC guidelines of social distancing, refrain from touching your face, and wearing masks or face coverings. Mayor Chamberlain has kindly offered plenty of donations of masks for any of those who will not be able to bring their own.

If you are feeling ANY COVID-19 related symptoms, we graciously ask you to please stay home and rest.
For a list of symptoms or to use the online symptom checker provided by the CDC, refer to this website-
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/symptoms-testing/symptoms.html

Here is a resource that can help you locate FREE COVID-19 testing
http://www.dph.illinois.gov/testing

We do encourage you to make and bring your own signs to march with, please remain respectful as this is a family-friendly event for all ages!

For more information check out the discussion section of the event page!

Above is from Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/events/878469249313607/