July 30: State COVID-19 death projections from U of Washington

July 30; July 22 ; July 14 vs. July 7 State COVID 19 death projection from U of Washington Institute

All four projections are through November 1, 2020,  Georgia now has the highest projected death rate2575 per million.  This week projections rose by major proportions for Georgia, Arizona, Texas And Ohio

The July 30 projections are available from:  https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

                         July 7----July 14-----JULY 22------July 30

United States  208,255,  224,546, 219,864 NOW 230,822  Population 331.00 million  629.17 per million 678.39 per million, 664.24 per million, 697.35 per million

Georgia  3,857  deaths; 4736;  7336; NOW 10,278 Population 3.99 million   966.67 per million ; 1186 .97 per million;1838.60 per million; NOW  2575.94 per million

New York  32,221 deaths; 35,379; 35,039; NOW 34,523  Population 18.8 million  1713.88 per million; 1881.86 per million; 1863.78 per million; NOW 1836.33 per million

Massachusetts  12,906 deaths; 10,121 deaths ; 9970 NOW 9647   Population 6.7 million  1926.27 per million 1510.60 per million; 1488.06 per million; NOW 1439.85 per million

Louisiana   4,643 deaths; 5,167; 4955; NOW 6401  Population 4.6 million  1009.35  per million; 1123.26 per million;  1077.17 per million; NOW 1391.52 per million

Connecticut  4,692  deaths; 4,456;  4750; NOW 4844 deaths  Population  3.7 million   1268.11 per million; 1204.32 per million;1283.78 per million; NOW 1309.19 per million

Arizona  5,553 deaths; 5,177;  5664; NOW 7946  Population 7.29 million  761.73 per million ;710.15 per million;  776.95 per million: NOW 1089.97 per million

Texas    13,450 deaths;18,675;  18,812; NOW 24,557    Population 29.90 million  449.83 per million; 624.58 per million; 629.16 per million; NOW 921.30 per million

District of Columbia  666 deaths; 681 ; 694 ; NOW 646 Population  .706 million  943.34 per million; 964.59 per million; 983.00 per million; NOW 915.01 per million

Florida   17,477 deaths;19,285; 18,154, NOW 16,318  Population 21.47 million  814.01 per million; 893.23 per million; 845.55 per million; NOW 760.04 per million

Maryland  3,880 deaths ; 4,278;  4194; NOW 4026  Population 6.0 million  646.67  per million; 713.00 per million; 699.0 per million; NOW  671.0 per million;

Pennsylvania  9,999 deaths; 8,431; 8028; NOW 8350   Population 12.7 million  787.32 per million; 663.86 per million; 632.13 per million; NOW 657.48 per million

Illinois     8,907 deaths; 8,351;  8472 ; NOW 8280 Population 12.63 million  705.23 per million; 657.56 per million; 772.43 per million; NOW 655.58 per million

South Carolina 242 deaths; 4,556; 3186; NOW 3232  Population 5.0 million  48.4 per million; 911.20 per million;  637.2 per million;NOW  646.4 per million

Iowa  841 deaths;  1,225; 1813, NOW 1700  Population 3.17 million  265.30 per million; 386.44 per million; 571.93 per million; NOW 536.28 per million

Ohio  5,712  deaths;4,545;  3900; NOW 5694  Population 11.73 million  486.96 per million; 387.47 per million; 332.48 per million; NOW 485.42 per million

Colorado  1937 deaths;  2,032; 2774: NOW 2665  Population 5.8 million  333.97 per million; 478.28 per million; NOW 459.48 per million

California 16,827 deaths;  21,264; 19,572; NOW 16,515   Population 39.78 million  423.00 per million;  534.54 per million;492.01 per million;  NOW 415.16 per million

Oklahoma  587  deaths;1,029 ; 1533; NOW 1484  Population 4.0 million  146.75 per million 257.23 per million; 383.25 per million; NOW 371.24 per million

Wisconsin  1,410 deaths;  992; 1041; NOW 2030  Population 5.82 million  242,27 per million 170.45 per million; 178.87 per million; NOW 348.80 per million

Washington  2,510 deaths; 3,170; 3303; NOW 2178 Population 7.17 million  325.98 per million ;442.112 per million; 450.67 per million: NOW 303.77 per million

Virginia 5,190 deaths ;  4,881;  2643; NOW 2289  Population 8.63 million  601.39  per million ;565.59 per million; 306.26 per million: NOW 265.24 per million

Arkansas 724 deaths;  617, 895; NOW 833   Population 3.018 million  239.89 per million 204.44 per million; 293.55 per million; NOW  276.01 per million

Kansas 632 deaths ; 410;  412; NOW 588  Population  2.77 million  228.16 per million 148.01 per million; 148.74 per million; NOW 212.27 per million

Idaho  120 deaths; 559; 513  NOW 365 Population  1.75 million   68.57 per million; 319.43 per million; NOW 208.57 per million

Oregon  471 deaths; 605;  683; NOW 634   Population 4.3 million  109.53 per million 140.70 per million;  158.84 per million; NOW 147.44 per million

July 30: 1772 new COVID-19 Cases in Illinois

Coronavirus crossroads? As Illinois sees largest single day caseload since May, Pritzker warns ‘we’re at a danger point’

The rise is part of a disturbing trend that’s seen July’s daily case average shoot up to more than 1,100, compared to 764 per day last month. In the last nine days alone, more than 13,000 new cases have been reported.

By Mitch Dudek Jul 30, 2020, 2:24pm CDT

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Gov. J.B. Pritzker speaks at a news conference at the Adams County Public Health Department in Quincy on Monday. Neal Earley/Chicago Sun-Times

Gov. J.B. Pritzker warned Illinois is at “a danger point” in the battle against COVID-19, as public health officials on Thursday announced another 1,772 new coronavirus cases — the highest single day tally since May, when the virus hit its deadly peak.

The rise is part of a disturbing trend that’s seen July’s daily case average shoot up to more than 1,100, compared to 764 per day last month. In the last nine days alone, more than 13,000 new cases have been reported — more than half the total for all of last month.

Speaking in Peoria, an area Pritzker has put on his warning list, the governor suggested residents are at a crossroads.

“We’re at a danger point everybody. Pay attention,” he said. “Now is the moment to wear your mask properly.”

Medical personnel at Advocate Lutheran General Hospital, conduct drive-thru COVID-19 testing in Park Ridge in March. Nam Y. Huh/AP file

The state’s positivity rate — which experts say indicates how rapidly the virus is spreading through a region — was 2.7% on June 26, when most businesses, restaurants and bars were allowed to resume limited operations under the fourth phase of Pritzker’s reopening plan.

But on Wednesday, the governor said “right now, things are not heading in the right direction,” warning “if things don’t change, a reversal is where we’re headed.”

The 1,772 new cases represent the highest daily total since May 24, when 2,508 were reported. May saw an average of more than 2,100 cases a day. July’s daily average hit 1,123 with the latest caseload.

“Much of the increase in cases has been tied to the 29 and under population, large social gatherings and household spread from family member to family member,” Pritzker said in a Facebook posting.

On Thursday, health officials also announced 18 more deaths attributed to COVID-19 and a seven-day positivity rate holding at 3.8%.

The state’s total case count stands at 176,896. It’s tally of coronavirus deaths is 7,478.

Looking at the weekly average of new cases is also cause for concern.

The seven-day new case average stands at 1,424. It’s nearly double the comparable average of 766 that was recorded a month ago on June 30.

Pritzker has said he would not hesitate to reimpose restrictions in regions of the state where the virus is rapidly spreading.

If a region surpasses certain thresholds — metrics include percentage of people testing positive, hospital capacity, and rising hospital admissions — then officials can choose to tighten restrictions from a “menu” of options outlined in the new tiered-system.

Four counties are on his warning list: LaSalle in north-central Illinois, Randolph in the Metro East region near St. Louis, centrally located Peoria and Adam along the Mississippi River.

Above is from:  https://chicago.suntimes.com/politics/2020/7/30/21348339/coronavirus-covid-19-illinois-1772-pritzker-briefing-deaths-cases-reopening