Wednesday, May 6, 2020

Rockford potential “hot spot” for COVID-19?



Report says Rockford ranks #8 as next potential COVID-19 outbreak hot spot


By WIFR Newsroom |

Posted: Wed 11:46 AM, May 06, 2020  |

Updated: Wed 11:49 AM, May 06, 2020

   

ROCKFORD, Ill. (WIFR) -- According a report from New York Times (​https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/23/upshot/five-ways-to-monitor-coronavirus-outbreak-us.html?fbclid=IwAR2UZznANhnUxXvhD5kcYRPgMzoMQ5N1Avv_vwCpuCqnGG2Y5tdzN_Xk3ik) Rockford ranks #8 in the country for the next potential COVID-19 outbreak could occur. The data is from the last two weeks.

In the list of Highest avg. daily growth rate of cases in the report, it says that Rockford has 553 recent cases with a daily growth rate of 9%, with cases doubling every 8 days.

Rockford also ranks #9 in the list of Highest avg. daily growth rate of deaths with 16 recent deaths, 7% daily growth rate and deaths doubling every 9.7 days.

The Janesville-Beloit area ranked #9 in daily growth rate of cases.

According to the report, “Communities with a lot of cases and a high growth rate are on track to have a serious problem. A high growth rate on top of a large number of cases means that a still larger number of people are on track to become ill or die.”

Growth rates are useful measures in epidemics because they tell us whether things are getting better or worse. In places where the growth rate is high but the number of cases is relatively low, a community may still have time to flatten its curve before an outbreak becomes widespread, the report says.

As of Wednesday morning, there are a total of 643 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Winnebago County and 22 deaths.



Above is from:  https://www.wifr.com/content/news/Report-says-Rockford-ranks-8-on-a-next-potential-COVID-19-outbreak-hot-spots-570242171.html

Belvidere Catholic school closes


St. James Catholic School in Belvidere to close permanently at end of year

By WIFR Newsroom |

Posted: Wed 5:16 PM, May 06, 2020

BELVIDERE, Ill. (WIFR) -- The Diocese of Rockford announced Wednesday that St. James Catholic School in Belvidere will be closing permanently, due to low enrollment and debt.

Last year the school educated 104 students at the school, pre-K through 8th. With the assistance of our principal, every school family has been contacted in regard to registering for the 2020-2021 school year. Sadly at the close of registration on May 1, only 36 students were registered.

The statement reads in part, "The educational integrity of our academic program at St. James cannot be sustained with this enrollment. This enrollment, coupled with the devastating financial impact of closures from COVID-19 has crippled our ability to sustain a Catholic elementary school here at St. James."

The school will close at the end of the 2019-20 school year. The school had already been closed due to Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s stay-at-home executive order.

Above is from:  https://www.wifr.com/content/news/St-James-Catholic-School-in-Belvidere-to-close-permanently-at-end-of-year-570252771.html

School in Belvidere to close


By Corina Curry
Rockford Register Star

Posted May 6, 2020 at 7:37 PM

BELVIDERE — St. James Catholic School in Belvidere will close at the end of the school year, church and school officials announced Wednesday.

Enrollment at the preK through eighth grade school has plummeted. The state’s restrictions on public gatherings because of the novel coronavirus has suspended church services at St. James, which has resulted in financial losses for the church and school.

The Rev. Brian Geary, pastor of St. James Catholic Church, and the officials from the Diocese of Rockford broke the news to teachers and school staff Wednesday. Parents and parish members were sent a letter.

In his letter, Geary called the closing of St. James school — the only Catholic school in Boone County — “a dark reality we must all face.”

The parish gives the school about $250,000 a year, Geary explained in his letter. It amounts to about 30% of what the church collects each Sunday.

But with the sudden decline in donations since the suspension of Mass in March, Geary said, the church is unable to support the school as it once did.

St James families and community members raised $5,660 in the past seven days on a fundraising website, but it wasn’t enough to keep the school open.

According to the site, the parents wanted to raise $10,000 so the school could reopen in the fall and students and teachers could have one last year together. The $10,000 would make up for revenue lost from spring fundraisers that had to be canceled.

“While we understand the financial constraints that many Catholic schools face today, our students, teachers, and parents are praying for one more year,” the site states.

“In most closing situations students, teachers, and parents have emotional closure and ample time to make arrangements ... In this case, the students were unknowingly ripped from their school year on March 12 and truly need the opportunity to return to St. James School for the 2020-2021 school year.”

Enrollment at the school also has declined. The school had 104 students last year. When registration for the 2020-2021 school year closed May 1, only 36 students had signed up.

“The educational integrity of our academic program at St. James cannot be sustained with this enrollment,” Geary wrote. “This enrollment, coupled with the devastating financial impact of closures from COVID-19, has crippled our ability to sustain a Catholic elementary school here at St. James.”

The decision to close the school at St. James is similar to a 2018 decision to close St. Bernadette Catholic School in Rockford.

While St. Bernadette’s school was scheduled to close in 2019, enrollment for what was going to be the school’s final year had dropped to 30 students, prompting school leaders to shut the doors early.

St. James is the fifth Catholic school in the Rockford area to close in recent years. The Cathedral of St. Peter School and another St. James school closed in 2019, as did St. Edward School.

The diocese opened All Saints Catholic Academy in 2019 in the old St. James school building in downtown Rockford.

“This is a difficult reality for all of us to face especially during these unprecedented moments not just in our nation but in our world,” Geary wrote. “Together, we can lean on our Catholic faith, which sustains us in these moments of sorrow and joy. Together, we will certainly mourn the loss of our school. But together, we can also celebrate our students, their families, our teachers and our administrators who have worked tirelessly to educate our children before and during these trying times.”

Corina Curry: ccurry@rrstar.com; @corinacurry

Above is from:  https://www.rrstar.com/news/20200506/st-james-catholic-school-in-belvidere-to-close?utm_source=SFMC&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Rockford%20Register%20Star%20daily%202020-05-07&utm_content=GTDT_RRS&utm_term=050720


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St. James


May 10, 2020

Dear Parishioners of St. James:
Praised be Jesus Christ!

It is with great sadness to announce that St. James School
will close after the current school year. Please go to our parish
or school websites to read the complete statement since it
outlines the reasons why I came to the decision.

I thank from the bottom of my heart all of the teachers,
administrators and staffs, parents, students, priests,
religious sisters, volunteers and parishioners over the years who
contributed their time, talent and treasure for the sake of our
children. Their effort, faith and dedication will certainly bear
great fruit in the souls of those who attended our school over
the years.

When the current social restrictions are eased we will
schedule an event of thanksgiving in order to bring closure and
show due appreciation. We give thanks first to Almighty God
for the privilege to teach in His name the saving truths of
Catholicism in our parish school. May the true Faith continue to
grow in the hearts of all who believe in the Lord Jesus.

God bless you,
Fr. Geary

Above is from:  http://www.stjamesbelvidere.org/letter-from-the-pastor/

May 6: 68,232 COVID-19 cases in Illinois


In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, Gov. JB Pritzker has ordered Illinois residents to stay at home. Executive Order No. 10 requires all residents to stay home, with exceptions for essential needs or business activities. Gatherings of 10 people or more are prohibited. The order extends through May 30, 2020.
COVID-19
Positive (Confirmed)
68,232   +2,270
Deaths
2,974   +136
Total Tests Performed*
361,260  +14,974
Total Cases
(68,232  5-6-2020) (65,962  5-5-2020)  (63,840  5-4-2020) (61,499 5-3-2020) (58,505  5-2-2020)  56,055 5-1-2020) (52,918  4-30-2020) (50,355  4-29-3030) (48,102 4-28-2020) (45,883  4-27-2020) (43,903  4-26-2020) ( 41,777  4-25-2020) (39,658  4-24-2020)  (36,934 4-23-2020)  (35,108 4-22-2020)(33,059  4-21-2020) (31,508  4-20-2020) (30,357 4-19-2020)  (29,160  4-18-2020)  (27,575  4-17-2020) (25,733  4-16-2020)  (24,593 4-15-2020)  (23,247 4-14-2020)  (22,025 4-13-2020)  (20,852 4-12-2020) (19,180 4-11-2020 ) (17,887 4-10-2020) (16,422 4-9-2020) (15,078 4-8-2020) (13,549 4-7-2020) (12,262 4-6-2020) (11,256 4-5-2020) (10,357 4/4/2020) (8,904-- 4/3/2020) (7,695-- 4/2/2020)   (6,980-- 4/1/2020) (5,994-- 3/31/2020)  (5,05--7 3/30/2020) (4,596-- 3/29/2020)

Deaths

(2,974  5-6-2020) ((2,838 5-5-2020)  (2662 5-4-2020) (2,618 5-3-2020) (2,559 5-2-2020) (2,457 5-1-2020) (2,355  4-30-2020) (2,215  4-29-2020)  (2,125  4-28-2020) (1,983  4-27-2020) (1,933 4-26-2020 )(1,874  4-25-2020) 1,795  4-22-2020) (1,688  2-23-2020) (1,585 4-22-2020) (1,468  4-21-2020) (1,349 4-20-2020)(1,290 4-18-2020)  (1,259  4-18-2020) (1,134  4-17-2020) (1,072  4-16-2020) (948 4-15-2020)  (866 4-14-2020) (794 4-13-2020)  (720 4-12-2020) (677 4-11-2020)(596 4-10-2020) (528 4-9-2020) (462 4-8-2020) (380 4-7-2020)(307 4-6-2020) (274 4-5-2020) (243—4-4-2020) (210-- 4-3-2020) (157 4-2-2020)(141 4/1/2020) (99 3/31/2020) (73 3/30/2020)  (65 3/29/2020)
Total Persons Tested*
(361,260 5-6-2020) (346,286 5-5-20200 (333,147  5-4-2020) (319,313  5-3-2020) (299,892 5-2-2020)  (284,688  5-1-2020) (269,867 4-30-2020) (256,667  4-29-2020) (242,189  4-28-2020) (227,628  4-27-2020) (214,952 4-26-2020) (201,617 4-25-2020) (186,219  4-24-2020)(173,316 4-23-2020) (164,346 4-22-2020)  (154,997  4-21-2020) (148,358 4-20-2020) (143,318 4-19-2020)  (137,404  4-18-2020) (130,163  4-17-2020)  (122,589  4-16-2020)  (116,929 4-15-2020) (110,616 4-14-2020)  (105,768 4-13-2020) (100,735 4-12-2020) (92,779 4-11-2020) (87,527 4-10-2020) (86,857 4-9-2020) (75,066 4-8-2020) (68,732 4-7-2020) (62,942 4-6-2020) (58,983 4-5-2020) (53,581—4-4-2020)  (48,048-- 4-3-2020) (43,653-- 4/2/2020) (40,384-- 4/1/2020) (35,225-- 3-31-2020) (30,446-- 3/30/2020)  (27,762-- 3/29/2020)

*Total number of people reported electronically for testing of COVID-19 at IDPH, commercial or hospital laboratories. Deaths are included in the number of positive cases
All numbers displayed are provisional and subject to change.

Information to be updated daily.

Above is from: http://www.dph.illinois.gov/covid19/covid19-statistics

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Home


PROJECTIONS from:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths Now being updated three times per week.

HUGE INCREASE IN PROJECTED DEATHS    For discussion go to: http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/05/ihme-model-nearly-doubles-death.html

Total COVID-19 deaths projected through August 4, 2020 in Illinois (6,353 5-4-2020)  (2,337  4-29-2020)   (2,316 4-27-2020)  (2093 4-21-2020) (2,259 4-15-2020) (1248 4-13-2020)

(777 4-10-2020)  (1,584  4-8-2020) (3,629 4-5-2020)(3,386 4-2-2020) (2,789 4-1-2020)  (2,326  3-31-2020)  (2,369 as of 3/30/2020)  (2,454 AS OF 3-26-2020)

COVID-19 deaths   Peak deaths  (95 deaths on 4-19-2020)               Previously (91 deaths on 4-12-2020)  (208 on 4-12-2020) (109 on 4-20-2020)

Illinois Population:  12.74 million        Projected deaths per million: 498.67

For a lengthier discussion of the projection model go to:  http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/03/forecasting-covid-19-impact-on-hospital.html and http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/05/why-imhs-corvid-19-model-is-so-wrong.html

BOONE COUNTY


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This page summarizes the latest data for COVID-19 in McHenry County. This data is provisional and subject to change.

McHenry County


McHenry County Cases

817

McHenry County Deaths


43

Source: McHenry County Department of Health








Above is from:  https://mchenry-county-coronavirus-response-mchenrycountygis.hub.arcgis.com/

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By WIFR Newsroom |

Posted: Wed 6:35 PM, May 06, 2020


WINNEBAGO COUNTY, Ill. (WIFR) -- There are now total 734 positive cases of COVID-19 in Winnebago County with 91 new cases announced Wednesday. No new deaths were announced, total still at 22.

Areas of concern are the following:

-- Alden Alma Nelson Manor
-- Amberwood Care Centre
-- Anam Care
-- East Bank Center
-- Forest City Rehab & Nursing
-- Goldie B Floberg Center
-- Milestone
-- Peterson Meadows
-- River Bluff Nursing Home
-- Robert Webb Terrace
-- Rockford Rescue Mission
-- Van Matre
-- Winnebago County Jail

14 deaths (63.64%) came from in-congregate settings from a location of concern. 8 deaths (36.36%) came from non-congregate settings from a location of concern

Here is the breakdown of cases and deaths in the county by age group:

-- 27 cases and 0 deaths: 0-9 age group
-- 47 cases and 0 deaths: 10-19 age group
-- 150 cases and 0 deaths: 20-29 age group
-- 140 cases and 0 deaths: 30-39 age group
-- 112 cases and 0 deaths: 40-49 age group
-- 123 cases and 2 deaths: 50-59 age group
-- 71 cases and 4 deaths: 60-69 age group
-- 34 cases and 3 deaths: 70-79 age group
-- 30 cases and 13 deaths: 80 and older age group

Here is the breakdown of the cases in the county by race ethnicity:

-- 21%: White. Not Hispanic or Latino
-- 20%: Black/African American, Not Hispanic or Latino
-- 17%: Hispanic or Latino
-- 3%: Asian, Not Hispanic
-- 39%: Unknown

There have been 734 total tests that have come back positive, 3,756 tests that have come back negative and 3,770 tests that are still pending. Adding these up gives a total of 8,260 tests that have been conducted so far in Winnebago County.

The health department also reports that 163 people have recovered from the novel coronavirus, up 38 from yesterday.


Testing Sites in Winnebago County:

Crusader Community Health
1200 West State Rockford, Ill
Hours: 9 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday - Friday
Requirements: Appointment required. Testing available to fq patients only. Must be referred by FQ provider.
COVID Hotline:815-490-1600

Crusader Community Health
1215 N Alpine Rd Rockford, Ill
Hours: 9 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday - Friday
Requirements: Appointment required. Testing available to fq patients only. Must be referred by FQ provider.
COVID Hotline:815-490-1600

Crusader Community Health
1100 Broadway Rockford, Ill
Hours: 9 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday - Friday
Requirements: Appointment required. Testing available to fq patients only. Must be referred by FQ provider.
COVID Hotline:815-490-1600

Crusader Community Health Regional Testing Site
1002 N. Pierpont Ave. (Auburn High School) Rockford, Ill
Hours: 9 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday - Friday
Requirements: All community individuals that are symptomatic and asymptomatic high risk individuals as defined by IDPH, no appointment needed.

Crusader Community Health Rockford Drive-Thru
520 North Pierpoint Avenue (Kennedy Middle School) Rockford, Ill
Hours: 9 a.m - 4:30 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday-Friday
Requirements: No appointment required. Ideal candidates for testing include, but are not limited to: - Anyone experiencing upper respiratory symptoms (cough, fever, shortness of breath, fatigue) and suspect it could be COVID-19 - High-risk populations living with chronic conditions such as diabetes, hypertension, COPD and/or related conditions such as asthma - People living or working in congregate situations such as nursing homes or retirement housing - Healthcare workers and those working in first responder roles.
COVID Hotline: 815-319-6705

IDPH Rockford Drive-Thru
1601 Parkview Avenue Rockford, Ill
Hours: 8 a.m. - 4 p.m.
Days of Operation: Daily
Requirements: No appointment required. Capacity is limited. Hours of operation subject to change on a daily basis, based on available equipment and throughout.

Physicians Immediate Care - Rockford - E. State Street
6595 East State Street Rockford, Ill
Hours: 8 a.m.- 4:30 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday - Friday
Requirements: Curbside exam to determine if testing is appropriate; capacity may be limited.

Physicians Immediate Care - Rockford - South Alpine
3475 S. Alpine Road Rockford, Ill
Hours: 8 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.; 8 a.m. - 2 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday - Friday; Saturday - Sunday
Requirements: Curbside exam to determine if testing is appropriate; capacity may be limited.

Crusader Community Health
6115 N 2nd St. Loves Park, Ill
Hours: 9 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday - Friday
Requirements: Appointment required. Testing available to fq patients only. Must be referred by FQ provider.
COVID Hotline: 815-490-1600

Physicians Immediate Care - Loves Park
1000 E. Riverside Blvd. Loves Park, Ill
Hours: 8 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday - Friday
Requirements: Curbside exam to determine if testing is appropriate; capacity may be limited.

Physicians Immediate Care - Machesney Park
11475 N. Second St. Machesney Park, Ill
Hours: 8 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.
Days of Operation: Monday - Friday
Requirements: Curbside exam to determine if testing is appropriate; capacity may be limited.




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Cases in U.S.

Updated  May 6, 2020
U.S. At A Glance

As of May 5, 2020

Total Cases*

1,193,813   +22,303


Total Deaths

70,802  +2,523

This page will be updated daily. Numbers close out at 4 p.m. the day before reporting



***On Saturday and Sunday, the numbers in COVID-19: U.S. at a Glance and the figure describing the cumulative total number of COVID-departments. CDC will update weekend numbers the following Monday to reflect health department updates.***

CDC is responding to an outbreak of respiratory illness caused by a novel (new) coronavirus. The outbreak first started in Wuhan, China, but cases have been identified in a growing number of other locations internationally, including the United States. In addition to CDC, many public health laboratories are now testing for the virus that causes COVID-19.

COVID-19: U.S. at a Glance*†

  • Total cases (1,193,813  5-6-2020) (1,171,510 5-5-2020)  (1,152,372 5-4-2020 )(1,092,815 5-2-2020)   (1,062,446  5-1-2020)(1,031,659  4-30-2020)  (1,005,147  4-28-2020) (957,875  4-27-2020) (928,619  4-26-2020)  (895,766  4-25-2020)   (865,585 4-24-2020)   (829,441   4-23-2020) (802,583  4-22-2020) (776,093 4-21-2020) (746,625 4-20-2020) (720,630 4-19-2020)  (661,712 4-17-2020)  (632,548 4-16-2020)  (605,390 4-15-2020) (579,005 4-14-2020)  (554,849 4-13-2020) (525,704 4-12-2020)  (492,416 4-11-2020)(459,165 4-10-2020) (427,460 4-9-2020) (395,011 4-8-2020)(374,329 4-7-2020) (330,891 4-6-2020) (304,826 4-5-2020) (277,205 4-4-2020) (239,279 4-3-2020) (213,144 4/2/2020)(186,101 4/1/2020) (163,539 3/31/2020) (140,904 3/30/2020)   (122,653  3-29-2020)
  • Total deaths (70,802 5-6-2020)  (68,279 5-5-2020) (67,456  5-4-2020)  (64,283  5-2-2020)  (62,405 5-1-2020)  (60,057  4-30-2020) (57,505  4-28-2020)  (53,922 4-27-2020) (52,459  4-26-2020)  (50,439 4-25-2020) (48,816  4-24-2020) (46,379 4-23-2020) (44,575 4-22-2020)  (41,759 4-21-2020) (39,083 4-20-2020)  (37,202 4-19-2020)  (33,049 4-17-2020)  (31,071 4-16-2020) (24,582 4-15-2020) (22,252 4-14-2020) (21,942 4-13-2020)  (20,486 4-12-2020)  (18,559 4-11-2020) (16,570 4-10-2020) (14,696 4-9-2020) (12,754 4-8-2020) (12,064 4-7-2020) (8,910 4-6-2020)(7,616 4-5-2020)  (6, 593 4-4-2020) (5,443 4-3-2020) (4,513 4-2-2020) (3,603 4-1-2020) (2,860 3/31/2020) (2,405 3/30/2020)   (2,112  3-29-2020)
  • Jurisdictions reporting cases: 55 (50 states, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Guam, Northern Marianas, and US Virgin Islands)

* Data include both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan. State and local public health departments are now testing and publicly reporting their cases. In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date.

† Numbers updated Saturday and Sunday are not confirmed by state and territorial health departments. These numbers will be modified when numbers are updated on Monday.(

Cases of COVID-19 Reported in the US, by Source of Exposure*†

* Data include both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan. State and local public health departments are now testing and publicly reporting their cases. In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date.

† CDC is no longer reporting the number of persons under investigation (PUIs) that have been tested, as well as PUIs that have tested negative. Now that states are testing and reporting their own results, CDC’s numbers are not representative of all testing being done nationwide.

Above is from:  https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

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Now being updated three times per week.

HUGE INCREASE IN PROJECTED DEATHS    For discussion go to: http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/05/ihme-model-nearly-doubles-death.html

PROJECTIONS:   US COVID-19 Deaths thru 8-4-2020) (134,475  5-4-2020)  (72,433   4-29-2020)  (74,073 4-27-2020) (65,976 4-21-2020)  (60,308 4-15-2020) (68,841 4-13-2020)  (61,543 4-10-2020) (60,415 4-8-2020) (81,766 4-5-2020) (93,531 4/3/2020) (93,765 4/1/2020)   (83.967 3/31/2020)    ( 82,141 3/30/2020);  Peak Daily    (2150 4-13-2020)

Older Peak Daily Deaths (2,212 on 4-12-2010)  (1,983 on 4-11-2020)  (2,644 on 4-16-2020)(3,130 on 4-16-2020) ( 2214 on 3/31/2020) (2,214 on 3/31/2 020) (2,271 3/30/2020)

US Population:  331 million    Projected deaths per million: 406.27

FROM:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths Now being updated three times per week

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COVID-19 Tracker   Great site to find specific county, state, country numbers is at:  https://bing.com/covid?form=msntrk  Site supplies case numbers, recovered cases and deaths by country and US state.

World population: 7.8  BILLION

Total confirmed cases

Updated 4 min ago

3,753,782

Active cases

2,247,968

+48,454

Recovered cases

1,242,029

+43,227

Fatal cases

263,785

+6,578