Thursday, July 2, 2020

J0hns Hopkins: COVID-19 at Six Months


COVID-19


Updates on the emerging novel coronavirus pandemic from the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security.

The Center for Health Security is analyzing and providing updates on the emerging novel coronavirus. If you would like to receive these updates, please subscribe below and select COVID-19. Additional resources are also available on our website.


July 2, 2020

COVID-19 at Six Months

Six months ago, in late December 2019, reports emerged about 27 cases of unidentified pneumonia in Wuhan, China, potentially linked to a local market. At that time, very little was known about the disease, pathogen, or origin of the outbreak, and while we have learned much over the past 6 months, many mysteries remain.

The pandemic has grown to more than 10 million cases and 500,000 deaths across nearly every country around the world. As of July 1, the WHO reported 10.36 million cases and 508,055 deaths worldwide, covering more than 200 countries and territories. Among these countries and territories, 86 are reporting “Community Transmission”—the WHO’s highest tier—which indicates “larger outbreaks of local transmission,” “large numbers of cases not linkable to transmission chains,” and “multiple unrelated clusters in several areas of the country.”

The United States continues to lead the world in cumulative incidence, and it has recently alternated with Brazil as #1 for daily incidence. In total, 38 US states are reporting increasing COVID-19 incidence over the past 2 weeks, 24 are reporting increasing COVID-19 hospitalizations, and 20 are reporting test positivity greater than 5% and increasing. These concerning trends have prompted 13 states to pause their recovery plans and an additional 6 states to reverse course and re-implement or strengthen certain social distancing restrictions.

From the first reports of cases in China, our team at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security has been following and analyzing this situation closely. Thank you for reading our COVID-19 situation reports and learning alongside us as the pandemic spreads. We are grateful to our technical team, who pulls together these updates with diligence and rigor—Divya Hosangadi, Amanda Kobokovich, Elena Martin, Christina Potter, Marc Trotochaud, Rachel Vahey, and Matthew Watson; led by Matthew Shearer and Dr. Caitlin Rivers—as well as our communications team, Margaret Miller and Julia Cizek. Finally, thank you to our funders and donors who make these reports and the rest of our work possible.

In order to provide some context for the past 6 months, we have compiled a timeline of selected events since the onset of the pandemic:

December 31: Wuhan Municipal Health Commission publishes the initial report of unidentified pneumonia, potentially linked to a local market

January 6: US CDC issues a Level 1 travel watch for Wuhan, China

January 11: First reported COVID-19 death in China

January 13: First COVID-19 case reported outside of China

January 21: First COVID-19 case reported in the US

January 23: China implements “lockdown” in Wuhan

January 24: First imported COVID-19 cases reported in Europe (France)

January 27: US CDC issues Level 3 travel warning for China, recommending against non-essential travel

January 27: First documented SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Europe (Germany)

January 29: First COVID-19 cases reported in Eastern Mediterranean Region (United Arab Emirates)

January 30: WHO declares COVID-19 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern

January 30: US CDC confirms first domestic transmission of SARS-CoV-2

January 31: US implements travel restrictions for Mainland China

February 5: The Diamond Princess cruise ship is quarantined in Yokohama, Japan, due to an ongoing COVID-19 outbreak onboard that resulted in at least 712 confirmed cases, including 9 deaths

February 25: First COVID-19 case reported in the African Region (Algeria)*

February 27: South Korea surpasses China as #1 globally in terms of daily COVID-19 incidence

February 29: US implements travel restrictions for Iran

March 4: Seattle and King County, Washington (US), advises high-risk individuals to avoid large gatherings

March 8: Italy implements “lockdown” for affected areas of the Lombardy region in Northern Italy

March 10: Italy expands “lockdown” measures to the entire country

March 11: US implements travel restrictions for all of Europe

March 11: WHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic

March 13: US declares the COVID-19 epidemic to be a national emergency

March 14: US implements travel restrictions for the UK and Ireland

March 15: National “lockdown” goes into effect in Spain

March 16: Six counties in the San Francisco Bay Area, California (US), issue the country’s first shelter-in-place orders

March 18: The WHO announces the SOLIDARITY Trial, a global collaboration to conduct clinical trials for prospective COVID-19 medical countermeasures

March 19: California (US) issues the first statewide “stay at home” order

March 23: The University of Oxford (UK) begins enrolling patients for the RECOVERY Trial, a nationwide clinical trial effort in the UK for COVID-19 MCMs

March 24: National “lockdown” ordered in India

March 24: The International Olympic Committee announces that the 2020 Olympic Games, scheduled to be hosted in Japan, are postponed

March 27: US CDC expands travel restrictions to cover all other countries

March 28: US CDC issues domestic travel advisory for New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut

March 28: Italy surpasses China as #1 globally in terms of cumulative COVID-19 incidence

March 29: US surpasses Italy as #1 globally in terms of cumulative COVID-19 incidence (and remains #1 today)

April 4: 1 million global cases

May 15: US government unveils Operation Warp Speed, a program to drive development and production of medical countermeasures against COVID-19

May 17: WHO reports more than 100,000 new cases in a single day

May 23: 5 million global cases

May 24: US implements travel restrictions for Brazil

May 28: US surpasses 100,000 cumulative reported COVID-19 deaths

May 29: New York (US) enters Phase 1 of recovery (NYC on June 8)

June 8: New Zealand declares SARS-CoV-2 eliminated

June 11: European Commission recommends that European countries remove internal border restrictions by June 15 to enable travel within the continent

June 29: 10 million global cases

June 30: 500,000 global deaths

June 30: European Council announces that European countries would lift travel restrictions for 15 countries beginning July 1

*Cases had been previously reported in Egypt, but Egypt is part of the Eastern Mediterranean Region.

The global situation has evolved dramatically since the onset of the pandemic. The initial focus was on Wuhan, as China instituted a strict “lockdown” of the city and its 11 million inhabitants that lasted months. The “lockdown” involved highly restrictive social and physical distancing measures, including a prohibition on entering or leaving the lockdown area. The virus quickly spread to and within countries around the world, gaining a foothold in communities in Europe, the Eastern Mediterranean, and the US that ultimately resulted in major national epidemics. As transmission increased across Europe and in the US, China successfully contained its epidemic. In addition to the “lockdown” in Wuhan, Chinese officials implemented intense contact tracing and testing efforts and rapidly expanded local health system capacity, including through the construction of modular hospital facilities.

As China contained the disease, the global COVID-19 burden shifted toward Europe and the US. As some countries began to gain control of their national epidemics, they looked ahead to relaxing social distancing measures and resuming social and economic activities. Some took slow, incremental approaches, while others progressed more rapidly. The pandemic continued to shift, sparking major epidemics in the Central and South American, Eastern Mediterranean, and South Asian regions, preying on areas that had not yet been severely affected. Portions of the US, particularly the New York City area, were severely affected early in the pandemic, but the country was able to begin bringing its epidemic under control from mid-April through the end of May, even as incidence shifted away from New York to other states and regions. As states began to ease social distancing measures, allowing “stay at home” and other statewide or regional orders to expire and promoting social and economic activity, areas that had not yet been severely affected began to report rapidly increasing incidence and other concerning COVID-19 trends.

Six months into the pandemic, the situation does not necessarily appear promising, but there is hope for the future.

Global incidence continues to increase exponentially, largely driven by major epidemics in multiple large countries, including Brazil, India, Mexico, and the US. And while most African countries have not reported elevated incidence, there is concern that limitations in testing and reporting may not be fully capturing the scale of the pandemic on the continent. Many experts believe that COVID-19 risk is growing and that we could be at the very beginning of a more serious “wave” of transmission that could last for months or longer.

Despite these concerning trends, there remains hope for the coming months. Numerous countries—including China, Italy, South Korea, Spain, and others that were severely affected early in the pandemic—have successfully brought their epidemics under control and achieved relatively low levels of transmission. New Zealand stands as an example to the rest of the world, having successfully eliminated COVID-19 earlier in June. These countries are providing templates for successful national-level responses and sharing lessons that other countries can leverage to improve their containment efforts.

Numerous efforts around the world are ongoing to develop, identify, and produce effective medical countermeasures against COVID-19. Several treatments have demonstrated some efficacy against COVID-19, including remdesivir and dexamethasone, and efforts are ongoing to develop and evaluate other treatment options. Perhaps even more critically, multiple promising vaccine candidates are progressing through various stages of clinical trials, and governments and other organizations are already investing to establish and scale up production capacity, in anticipation of positive future results, in order to increase availability as soon as an efficacious product is identified. Efforts are also ongoing to ensure that treatments and vaccines are available globally to promote equitable distribution for all countries as soon as possible.

The COVID-19 pandemic is far from over, but we are gaining experience and tools on a daily basis to improve our ability to combat it. Scientists, health practitioners, and other experts continue to learn more about the disease and the virus that causes it. We have a long way to go and a lot of hard work ahead of us, but we can and will bring this pandemic under control. Each of us plays an important role, whether contributing directly to response operations as a frontline healthcare worker or public health official, ensuring the continuation of community services and infrastructure as an essential worker, developing and implementing policies as a researcher or elected official, or taking appropriate protective measures as part of your daily life.

Wear your mask, maintain physical distance, wash your hands, and stay home when you are sick. We are all in this together, even if we are 6 feet apart.

July 2, 2020

Illinois COVID 19 Numbers


Positive Cases (Confirmed)

144,013

Deaths

6,951

Total Tests Performed*

1,636,055

Recovery Rate**

94%

July 1:??? new COVID-19 cases in Illinois


COVID-19
Positive (Confirmed)
143,185  +724
Deaths
6923  +21
Total Tests
1,602,965    +31,069
Total Cases
(134,185  6-30-2020)  (142,461  4-29-2020) (141,723  6-28-2020) (141,077  6-27-2020)  (140,291  6-26-2020)  (139,434  6-25-2020) (138,540  6-24-2020) (137,825  6-23-2020) (137,224  6-22-2020) (136,762  6-21-2020) (136,104  6-20-2020) (135,470  6-19-2020) (134,778  6-18-2020) (134,185  6-17-2020) (133,639  6-16-2020} (133,016  (-15-2020) (132,543  6-14-2020) (131,871  6-13-2020) (131,198  6-12-2020) (130,603  6-11-2020) (129,837  (6-10-2020)  (129,212  6-9-2020) (128,415  6-8-2020) (127,757  6-7-2020) (126,890  6-6-2020) (125,915  6-5-2020) (124,759  6-4-2020) (123,830  6-3-2020) (122,848  6-2-2020) (121,234  6-1-2020) (120,260  5-31-2020) (118,917  5-30-3030) (117,455  5-29-2020) 115,833  5-28-2020) (114,306  5-27-2020) (113,195  5-26-2020)(112,017  2-25-2020) (110,304  5-24-2020) (107,796  5-23-2020) (105,444  5-22-2020) (102,686 5-21-2020) 100,418  5-20-2020) (98,030  5-19-2020) (96,485  5-18-2020)  (94,191  5-17-2020)  (92,457  5-16-2020) (90,369 5-15-2020) (87,937  5-14-2020) (84,698  5-13-2020) (83,021  5-12-2020)(79,007  5-11-2020) (77,741 5-10-2020)  (76,085  5-9-2020)(73,760  5-8-2020)(70,873 5-7-2020)(68,232  5-6-2020) (65,962  5-5-2020)  (63,840  5-4-2020) (61,499 5-3-2020) (58,505  5-2-2020)  56,055 5-1-2020) (52,918  4-30-2020) (50,355  4-29-3030) (48,102 4-28-2020) (45,883  4-27-2020) (43,903  4-26-2020) ( 41,777  4-25-2020) (39,658  4-24-2020)  (36,934 4-23-2020)  (35,108 4-22-2020)(33,059  4-21-2020) (31,508  4-20-2020) (30,357 4-19-2020)  (29,160  4-18-2020)  (27,575  4-17-2020) (25,733  4-16-2020)  (24,593 4-15-2020)  (23,247 4-14-2020)  (22,025 4-13-2020)  (20,852 4-12-2020) (19,180 4-11-2020 ) (17,887 4-10-2020) (16,422 4-9-2020) (15,078 4-8-2020) (13,549 4-7-2020) (12,262 4-6-2020) (11,256 4-5-2020) (10,357 4/4/2020) (8,904-- 4/3/2020) (7,695-- 4/2/2020)   (6,980-- 4/1/2020) (5,994-- 3/31/2020)  (5,05--7 3/30/2020) (4,596-- 3/29/2020)

Deaths

(6923  6-30-2020)  (6902  6-29-2020)  (6888  6-28-2020) (6873  6-27-2020)  (9847  6-26-2020) (6810  6-25-2020) (6770  6-24-2020) (6707  6-23-2020) 6671  6-22-2020)  (6647  6-21-2020) (6625  6-20-2020) (6580  6-19-2020) (6537  6-18-2020) (6485  6-17-2020) (6398  6-16-2020) (6326  6*15*2020) (6308  6-14-2020) (6289  6-13-2020)  (6260  6-12-2020) (6185  6-11-2020) (6095  6-10-2020) (6018  6-9-2020) (5924  6-8-2020) (5904  6-7-2020) (5864  6-6-2020) (5795  6-5-2020) (5739  6-4-2020) (5621  6-3-2020) (5525  6-2-2020) (5412  6-1-2020)   ((5390  5-31-2020)  (5330  5-30-2020) (5270  5-29-2020)  (5186  5-28-2020) (5083  5-27-2020) (4923  5-26-2020) (4884  5-25-2020) (4856  5-24-2020) (4790 5-23-2020) (4713  5-22-2020) (4607  5-21-2020) (4525 5-20-2020)(4,379 5-19-2020) (4,234  5-18-2020) (4,177  5-17-2020) (4129 5-16-2020) (4,058  5-15-2020) (3,928  5-14-2020) (3,792 5-13-2020) (3,601 5-12-2020)  (3,459  5-11-2020) (3,406 5-10-2020) (3349 5-9-2020) (3,241 5-8-2020) (3,111  5-7-2020)(2,974  5-6-2020) ((2,838 5-5-2020)  (2662 5-4-2020) (2,618 5-3-2020) (2,559 5-2-2020) (2,457 5-1-2020) (2,355  4-30-2020) (2,215  4-29-2020)  (2,125  4-28-2020) (1,983  4-27-2020) (1,933 4-26-2020 )(1,874  4-25-2020) 1,795  4-22-2020) (1,688  2-23-2020) (1,585 4-22-2020) (1,468  4-21-2020) (1,349 4-20-2020)(1,290 4-18-2020)  (1,259  4-18-2020) (1,134  4-17-2020) (1,072  4-16-2020) (948 4-15-2020)  (866 4-14-2020) (794 4-13-2020)  (720 4-12-2020) (677 4-11-2020)(596 4-10-2020) (528 4-9-2020) (462 4-8-2020) (380 4-7-2020)(307 4-6-2020) (274 4-5-2020) (243—4-4-2020) 147(210-- 4-3-2020) (157 4-2-2020)(141 4/1/2020) (99 3/31/2020) (73 3/30/2020)  (65 3/29/2020)
Total Persons Tested*
(1,602,965  6-30-2020)  (1,571,895  6-29-2020)  (1,544,978  6-28-2020)  (1,521,189  6-27-2020) (1,490,952  6-26-2020) (1,460,527  6-25-2020) (1,428,841  6-24-2020) (1,399,510 6-23-2020)  (1,379,003  6-22-2020) (1,360,7846-21-2020)  (1,336,968  6-20-2020) (1,311,003  6-19-2020) (1,283,832  6-18-2020) (1(258,328 6-17-2020)  1,228,341  6-16-2020) (1,209,612  6-15-2020)  (1,190,985  6-14-2020) (1,168,945  6-13-2020) (1,147,101  6-12-2020)  1,122,327  6-11-2020) (1,100,002  6-10-2020) (1,079,182  6-9-2020) (1,058,873  6-8-2020)  (1,042,774  6-72020) (1,022,074  6-6-2020) (1,000,919  6-5-2020) (982,016  6-4-2020)  ,(959,175  6-3-2020) (934,704  6-2-2020)  (918,273  6-1-20200 (898,259  5-31-2020) (877,105  5-30-2020)  (851,762  5-29-2020) (829,966  5-28-2020) (803,973  5-27-2020) (786,794  5-26-2020) (769,564  5-25-2020) (747,921  5-22-2020) (722,247  5-23-2020) (697,133  5-22-2020) (672,020 5-21-2020) (642,713 5-20-2020)(621,684  5-19-2020) (603,241 5-18-2020) (581,944  5-17-2020) (561,649  5-16-2020) (538,602 5-15-2020) (512,037  5-14-2020)  (489,359  5-13-2020)(471,691 5-12-2020) (442,425  5-11-2020) ,258,328,(429,984  5-10-2020) (416,331 5-9-2020)  (399,714 5-8-2020)  (379,033 5-7-2020)(361,260 5-6-2020) (346,286 5-5-20200 (333,147  5-4-2020) (319,313  5-3-2020) (299,892 5-2-2020)  (284,688  5-1-2020) (269,867 4-30-2020) (256,667  4-29-2020) (242,189  4-28-2020) (227,628  4-27-2020) (214,952 4-26-2020) (201,617 4-25-2020) (186,219  4-24-2020)(173,316 4-23-2020) (164,346 4-22-2020)  (154,997  4-21-2020) (148,358 4-20-2020) (143,318 4-19-2020)  (137,404  4-18-2020) (130,163  4-17-2020)  (122,589  4-16-2020)  (116,929 4-15-2020) (110,616 4-14-2020)  (105,768 4-13-2020) (100,735 4-12-2020) (92,779 4-11-2020) (87,527 4-10-2020) (86,857 4-9-2020) (75,066 4-8-2020) (68,732 4-7-2020) (62,942 4-6-2020) (58,983 4-5-2020) (53,581—4-4-2020)  (48,048-- 4-3-2020) (43,653-- 4/2/2020) (40,384-- 4/1/2020) (35,225-- 3-31-2020) (30,446-- 3/30/2020)  (27,762-- 3/29/2020)

*Total number of people reported electronically for testing of COVID-19 at IDPH, commercial or hospital laboratories. Deaths are included in the number of positive cases
All numbers displayed are provisional and subject to change.

Information to be updated daily.

Above is from: http://www.dph.illinois.gov/covid19/covid19-statistics

*****************************************************************************************************************************

Home


PROJECTIONS from:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths .

Total COVID-19 deaths projected through October 1, 2020 in Illinois. A 1.57% increase in projection from June 24’s. (8620 6-29-2020) (8487 6-24-2020) (8274 6-15-2020) (7462  6-10-2020)  (7381 6-8-2020*) (6371 5-29-2020) (7628 5-26-2020) (8,781 5-18-2020) (7,830 5-12-2020) (7395 5-10-2020)(6,353 5-4-2020)  (2,337  4-29-2020)   (2,316 4-27-2020)  (2093 4-21-2020) (2,259 4-15-2020) (1248 4-13-2020)

(777 4-10-2020)  (1,584  4-8-2020) (3,629 4-5-2020)(3,386 4-2-2020) (2,789 4-1-2020)  (2,326  3-31-2020)  (2,369 as of 3/30/2020)  (2,454 AS OF 3-26-2020)

COVID-19 deaths   Peak deaths  (95 deaths on 4-19-2020)               Previously (91 deaths on 4-12-2020)  (208 on 4-12-2020) (109 on 4-20-2020)

Illinois Population:  12.74 million        Projected deaths per million: 585.71

*  August 4 end date was used for 6-8-2020 and earlier projections

For a lengthier discussion of the projection model go to:  http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/03/forecasting-covid-19-impact-on-hospital.html and http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/05/why-imhs-corvid-19-model-is-so-wrong.html

**************************************************************************************************************************************************************

BOONE COUNTY




McHenry County

McHenry County Confirmed Cases


2,045

McHenry County Confirmed Deaths


97

McHenry County Recovery Rate (%)


93%

McHenry County Probable Cases


48

McHenry County Probable Deaths


2

Source: McHenry County Department of Health

.

.



Above is from:  https://mchenry-county-coronavirus-response-mchenrycountygis.hub.arcgis.com/

*******************************************************************************************************

Winnebago County

WINNEBAGO COUNTY (WREX) — Winnebago County hit a positive milestone on Monday surrounding the coronavirus crisis; it's the longest stretch with no COVID-19 deaths the county has seen.

So far, a total of 85 people have died from the virus in Winnebago County.

However, the death toll has not changed in 7 days, or the longest stretch since the county saw its first fatality back in March.

On Monday, Winnebago County Health Department Director Dr. Sandra Martell said she's cautiously optimistic about the numbers, but is hopeful the death rate will stay down.

Also during a news briefing, Dr. Martell stressed the importance of businesses following the strict reopening guidelines during the pandemic as the county prepares to move into Phase 4 of reopening.

She said any business not following the rules will be called out publicly.

"Winnebago County Health Department moving forward will post the names of establishments when there are more validated complaints and any establishment that has been issued an order of closure on our website
we want the community to know those facilities and establishments that have not been compliance so consumers can make that choice" said Dr. Martell.

County health officials say the number one complaint it receives on the COVID-19 hotline is about businesses not enforcing masks and social distancing requirements.

Winnebago County surpassed 2,900 total cases of COVID-19 on Monday after the health department reported 19 new cases, bringing its total number of cases up to 2,903 since the pandemic began. The county sits at 85 deaths and a 94 percent recovery rate.


***************************************
Cases in U.S.

Updated  June 30, 2020
U.S. At A Glance

As  of June 29, 2020

Confirmed Cases  2,581,229   + 35,664

Confirmed Dead   126,739  +370

This page will be updated daily. Numbers close out at 4 p.m. the day before reporting

***On Saturday and Sunday, the numbers in COVID-19: U.S. at a Glance and the figure describing the cumulative total number of COVID-departments. CDC will update weekend numbers the following Monday to reflect health department updates.***

CDC is responding to an outbreak of respiratory illness caused by a novel (new) coronavirus. The outbreak first started in Wuhan, China, but cases have been identified in a growing number of other locations internationally, including the United States. In addition to CDC, many public health laboratories are now testing for the virus that causes COVID-19.

COVID-19: U.S. at a Glance*†

  • Total cases (2,581,229  6-30-2020) (2,545,250  6-29-2020)  (2,504,175  6-28-2020)  (2,459,472  6-27-2020) (2,414,870  6-26-2020)(2,336,615  6-24-2020)  (2,302,288  6-23-2020) (2,275,645  6-22-2020) (2,248,029  6-21-2020) ( 2,215,618 6-20-2020) (2,178,710  6-192020) (2,155,572  6-18-2020) (2,132,321  6-17-2020)  (2,104,346  6-16-2020) (2,085,769  6-15-2020) (2,063,812  6-14-2020) (2,038,344  6-13-2020) (2,016,027  6-12-2020)(1,994,283  6-11-2020) (1,973,797  6-10-2020)  (1,956,421  6-9-2020)  (1,938,823  6-8-2020) (1,920,904  6-7-2020) (1,891,690  6-6-2020) (1,862,656  6-5-2020) (1,827,425  6-3-2020) (1,802,470  6-2-2020) (1,787,680  6-1-2020) (1,761,530  5-30-2020) (1,719,827  5-29-2020) (1,678,843  5-27-2020)  (1,662,414  5-26-2020) (1,637,456 5-25-2020)  (1,622,114  5-24-2020)(1,595,858 5-23-2020) (1,571,617  5-22-2020)(1,551,095 5-21-2020) (1,528,235 5-20-2020)(1,504 030  5-19-2020) (1.480,349   5-18-2020),(1,467,065  5-17-2020) (1,435,098 5-16-2020)  (1,412,121  5-15-2020) (1,384,930  5-14-2020) (1,364,061 5-13-2020) (1,342,594  5-12-2020) (1,324,488  5-11-20200  (1,300,696  5-10-2020) (1,274,036  5-9-2020) (1,248,040 5-8-2020) (1,219,066  5-7-2020)(1,193,)  (1,005,147  4-28-2020) (957,875  4-27-2020) (928,619  4-26-2020)  (895,766  4-25-2020)   (865,585 4-24-2020)   (829,441   4-23-2020) (802,583  4-22-2020) (776,093 4-21-2020) (746,625 4-20-2020) (720,630 4-19-2020)  (661,712 4-17-2020)  (632,548 4-16-2020)  (605,390 4-15-2020) (579,005 4-14-2020)  (554,849 4-13-2020) (525,704 4-12-2020)  (492,416 4-11-2020)(459,165 4-10-2020) (427,460 4-9-2020) (395,011 4-8-2020)(374,329 4-7-2020) (330,891 4-6-2020) (304,826 4-5-2020) (277,205 4-4-2020) (239,279 4-3-2020) (213,144 4/2/2020)(186,101 4/1/2020) (163,539 3/31/2020) (140,904 3/30/2020)   (122,653  3-29-2020)
  • Total deaths (126,739  6-30-2020)  (126,369  6-29-2020)  (125,484  6-28-2020)    (124,976  6-27-2020)  (124,325  6-26-2020)  (121,117  +784) (120,333  6-23-2020)  (119,923  6-22-2020) (119,615  6-21-202)  (119,055  6-20-2020)  (118,365  6-19-2020) (117,632  6-18-2020)  (116,862  6-17-2020) (116,140  6-16-2020) (115,644  6-15-2020) (115,271 6-14-2020)  (114,625  6-13-2020)  (113,914  6-20-2020) (112,967  6-11-2020) (112,133  6-10-2020) (110,925  6-9-2020) (110,375  6-8-2020)  (109,901 6-7—2020)  (109,192  6-6-2020) (108,064  6-5-2020) (106,202  6-3-2020)  (105,157  6-2-2(2020) (104,396  6-1-2020)  (103,700 5-30-2020) (101,711  5-29-2020) (99,031  5-27-2020)  (98,261  5-26-2020)(97,669  5-25-2020)  (97,049  2-24-2020) (96,002 5-23-2020) (94,150 5-22-2020) (93,061  5-21-2020) (91,664 5-20-2020) (90,340 5-19-2020)  (89,407  5-18-2020) (88,709  5-17-2020)  (87,315  5-16-2020)  (85,990  5-20-2020) (83,947 5-15-2020) (82,246  5-13-2020)  (80,820  5-12-2020) (79,756  5-11-2020) (78,771  5-10-2020) (77,034  5-9-2020) (75,477  5-8-2020) (73,297  5-7-2020) (70,802 5-6-2020)  (68,279 5-5-2020) (67,456  5-4-2020)  (64,283  5-2-2020)  (62,405 5-1-2020)  (60,057  4-30-2020) (57,505  4-28-2020)  (53,922 4-27-2020) (52,459  4-26-2020)  (50,439 4-25-2020) (48,816  4-24-2020) (46,379 4-23-2020) (44,575 4-22-2020)  (41,759 4-21-2020) (39,083 4-20-2020)  (37,202 4-19-2020)  (33,049 4-17-2020)  (31,071 4-16-2020) (24,582 4-15-2020) (22,252 4-14-2020) (21,942 4-13-2020)  (20,486 4-12-2020)  (18,559 4-11-2020) (16,570 4-10-2020) (14,696 4-9-2020) (12,754 4-8-2020) (12,064 4-7-2020) (8,910 4-6-2020)(7,616 4-5-2020)  (6, 593 4-4-2020) (5,443 4-3-2020) (4,513 4-2-2020) (3,603 4-1-2020) (2,860 3/31/2020) (2,405 3/30/2020)   (2,112  3-29-2020)
  • Jurisdictions reporting cases: 55 (50 states, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Guam, Northern Marianas, and US Virgin Islands)

* Data include both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan. State and local public health departments are now testing and publicly reporting their cases. In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date.

† Numbers updated Saturday and Sunday are not confirmed by state and territorial health departments. These numbers will be modified when numbers are updated on Monday.(

Cases of COVID-19 Reported in the US, by Source of Exposure*†

* Data include both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan. State and local public health departments are now testing and publicly reporting their cases. In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date.

† CDC is no longer reporting the number of persons under investigation (PUIs) that have been tested, as well as PUIs that have tested negative. Now that states are testing and reporting their own results, CDC’s numbers are not representative of all testing being done nationwide.

Above is from:  https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

***************************************************************************************************************************************

PROJECTIONS:   US COVID-19 Deaths thru 10-1-2020) A 10.95% decrease since June 15’s projection.(179,106 6-24-2020) (201,129  6-15-2020)  (169,890  6-10-2020) (145,728*  6-8-2020)  (135,109 5-29-2020)  (131,967  5-26-2020) (143,357 5-18-2020)  (147,040 5-12-2020)  (137,184 5-10-2020) (134,475 5-4-2020)  (72,433   4-29-2020)  (74,073 4-27-2020) (65,976 4-21-2020)  (60,308 4-15-2020) (68,841 4-13-2020)  (61,543 4-10-2020) (60,415 4-8-2020) (81,766 4-5-2020) (93,531 4/3/2020) (93,765 4/1/2020)   (83.967 3/31/2020)    ( 82,141 3/30/2020);  Peak Daily    (2150 4-13-2020)

Older Peak Daily Deaths (2,212 on 4-12-2010)  (1,983 on 4-11-2020)  (2,644 on 4-16-2020)(3,130 on 4-16-2020) ( 2214 on 3/31/2020) (2,214 on 3/31/2 020) (2,271 3/30/2020)

*August 4 was used for projected end date deaths prior to June 10’s projections.

US Population:  331 million    Projected deaths per million: 398.69

FROM:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths Now being updated three times per week

*********************************************************************************************************************************************

COVID-19 Tracker   Great site to find specific county, state, country numbers is at:  https://bing.com/covid?form=msntrk  Site supplies case numbers, recovered cases and deaths by country and US state.

World
Total confirmed cases

Updated 10 min ago

10,199,798

+155,067

Active cases

4,527,430

Recovered cases

5,169,421

+84,403

Fatal cases

502,947

+3,055