Saturday, August 22, 2020

August 21: State COVID-19 death projections from U of Washington


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The projections from August 6 and August 21,are  projects through December 1, 2020.*  The other four projections are through November 1, 2020,  Georgia  has the highest projected death rate 2708 per million.  Projections rose by major proportions for Massachusetts, Arizona, District of Columbia, California, Illinois, South Carolina, Pennsylvania, Iowa, and North Dakota.  Decreases for Missouri, Kansas, Virginia and Wisconsin.

The August 21 projections are available from:  https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

                         July 7----July 14-----JULY 22------July 30—August 6*—August 21*

United States  208,255,  224,546, 219,864,  230,822,  295,011, NOW 309,918   Population 331.00 million  629.17 per million 678.39 per million, 664.24 per million, 697.35 per million, 891.17 per million, NOW 936.3 per million

Georgia  3,857  deaths; 4736;  7336; 10,278, 11,288, NOW 10.805 Population 3.99 million   966.67 per million ; 1186 .97 per million;1838.60 per million; 2575.94 per million; 2829.07 per million; NOW  2708.02 per million

Massachusetts  12,906 deaths; 10,121 deaths ; 9970;   9647;  10,314; NOW 12.295   Population 6.7 million  1926.27 per million 1510.60 per million; 1488.06 per million1439.85 per million; 1539.40 per million; NOW 1835.07 per million

New York  32,221 deaths; 35,379; 35,039; 34,423;  33,945; NOW 32,743  Population 18.8 million  1713.88 per million; 1881.86 per million; 1863.78 per million; 1836.33 per million;  1805.59 per million; NOW 1741.65 per million

Louisiana   4,643 deaths; 5,167; 4955; 6401; 7901; NOW 7840  Population 4.6 million  1009.35  per million; 1123.26 per million; 1077.17 per million; 1391.52 per million;1717.61 per million; NOW 1704.35 per million

Arizona  5,553 deaths; 5,177;  5664;7946 6840; NOW 9562   Population 7.29 million  761.73 per million ;710.15 per million;  776.95 per million: 1089.97 per million; 938.27 per million.; NOW 1311.66 per million

Connecticut  4,692  deaths; 4,456;  4750;  4844 5179; NOW 4675 deaths  Population  3.7 million   1268.11 per million; 1204.32 per million;1283.78 per million;  1309.19 per million; 1399.73 per million; NOW 1263.52 per million

District of Columbia  666 deaths; 681 ; 694 ;  646; 605; NOW 837 Population  .706 million  943.34 per million; 964.59 per million; 983.00 per million; 915.01 per million;  856.94 per million; NOW 1185.55 per million

Pennsylvania  9,999 deaths; 8,431; 8028;  8350; 8859; NOW 14,998   Population 12.7 million  787.32 per million; 663.86 per million; 632.13 per million;657.48 per million 697.56 per million; NOW 1180.94 per million

California 16,827 deaths;  21,264; 19,572;  16,515;  32,692; NOW 41,110   Population 39.78 million  423.00 per million;  534.54 per million;492.01 per million;  415.16 per million; 821.82 per million; NOW 1033.43 per million

Florida   17,477 deaths;19,285; 18,154,  16,318; 19,358; NOW 21,174   Population 21.47 million  814.01 per million; 893.23 per million; 845.55 per million; 760.04 per million; 901.63 per millionNOW 986.21 per million

South Carolina 242 deaths; 4,556; 3186;  3232; 3672; NOW 4724   Population 5.0 million  48.4 per million; 911.20 per million;  637.2 per million;646.4 per million; 734.40 per million; NOW 944.8 per million

Iowa  841 deaths;  1,225; 1813,1700; 2163 NOW 2856  Population 3.17 million  265.30 per million; 386.44 per million; 571.93 per million;  536.28 per million 682.34 per million; NOW 900.95 per million

Maryland  3,880 deaths ; 4,278;  4194;  4026; 5174; NOW  5301 Population 6.0 million  646.67  per million; 713.00 per million; 699.0 per million;  671.0 per million;  862.34 per million; NOW 883.5 per million

Illinois  8,907 deaths; 8,351;  8472 ;  8280;  9995; NOW 11,071 Population 12.63 million  705.23 per million; 657.56 per million; 772.43 per million;  655.58 per million;  791.37 per million; NOW 876.56 per million

Texas    13,450 deaths;18,675;  18,812; 24,557; 27,435; NOW 25.532    Population 29.90 million  449.83 per million; 624.58 per million; 629.16 per million; 921.30 per million; 917.56 per million; NOW 853.91 per million

Arkansas 724 deaths;  617, 895; 833; 2234; NOW 2364    Population 3.018 million  239.89 per million 204.44 per million; 293.55 per million;   276.01 per million ; 740.23 per million; NOW 783.30 per million

Washington  2,510 deaths; 3,170; 3303; 2178; 5078; NOW 5040  Population 7.17 million  325.98 per million ;442.112 per million; 450.67 per million;  303.77 per million; 708.23 per million; NOW 702.93 per million

Oregon  471 deaths; 605;  683;  634; 2967; NOW 2408    Population 4.3 million  109.53 per million 140.70 per million;  158.84 per million; 147.44 per million; 690.0 per million; NOW 560.0 per million

Ohio  5,712  deaths;4,545;  3900;  5694; 9041; NOW 6046  Population 11.73 million  486.96 per million; 387.47 per million; 332.48 per million; 485.42 per million; 770.76 per million; NOW 515.43 per million

Oklahoma  587  deaths;1,029 ; 1533; 1484;   2967, NOW 2058 Population 4.0 million  146.75 per million 257.23 per million; 383.25 per million; 371.24 per million; 741.75 per million; NOW 514.5 per million

Colorado  1937 deaths;  2,032; 2774:  2665; 5179; NOW 2967  Population 5.8 million  333.97 per million; 478.28 per million; NOW 459.48 per million; 892.93 per million’ NOW 511.55 per million

Missouri  5436 deaths; NOW 3068 Population 6.137 million; 885.77 per million; NOW 499.92 per million

North Dakota 215 deaths; NOW 371  Population .762 million 282.15 per million; NOW 486.88 per million

Kansas 632 deaths ; 410;  412; 588; 2245; NOW 1277  Population  2.77 million  228.16 per million 148.01 per million; 148.74 per million;  212.27 per million;  810.47 per million; NOW 461.01 per million

Virginia 5,190 deaths ;  4,881;  2643; 2289;  5842; NOW 2828   Population 8.63 million  601.39  per million ;565.59 per million; 306.26 per million:  265.24 per million; 676.94 per million; NOW 327.69 per million

Wisconsin  1,410 deaths;  992; 1041; 2030; 3708 ; NOW 1775 Population 5.82 million  242,27 per million 170.45 per million; 178.87 per million; 348.80 per million;  637.11 per million ; NOW 304.98 per million

South Dakota 254 deaths; NOW 281  Population .885 million 287.01 per million; NOW 317.51 per million

Idaho  120 deaths; 559; 513; 365;  916, NOW 983 Population 4.3 million  109.53 per million 140.70 per million;  158.84 per million;147.44 per million;  213.02 per million; NOW 228.60 per million