Dixon’s $50million thief seeks compassionate release

Rita Crundwell asks for early release from federal prison, wants to live on brother’s farm

On May 10, 2020

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By Jim Hagerty
Reporter

DIXON, Ill. – Former Dixon Comptroller Rita Crundwell is seeking release from federal prison over fears of contracting COVID-19, the respiratory disease caused by the new coronavirus.

The 67-year-old is serving a nearly 20-year sentence for stealing more than $53 million from the city.

“I know at my sentencing you felt I was not given a death sentence with my projected age of release of 77, but now with my deteriorating health condition, and the danger of the COVID-19 pandemic, I feel I have been given a death sentence,” Crundwell said in a handwritten letter to Judge Philip Reinhard.

Crundwell’s scam began in 1990, when she opened a secret bank and named it “Reserve Sewer Capital Development Account (RSCDA).” Meanwhile, she directed tax dollars to another account called the “Capital Development Fund.”

Creating phony invoices for capital improvements, many of which were never made, she directed money from the Capital Development Fund to the RSCDA. She used the cash to fund a lavish lifestyle that included vehicles, homes, RVs and one of the best quarter-horse breeding businesses in the United States. Her horses won more than 50 world championships.

The scheme went undetected for more than 20 years until the city clerk discovered the RSCDA account in 2012, when Crundwell was on vacation.

While it may be more, officials say Crundwell stole $53.7 million from Dixon’s motor fuel tax. She was sentenced in 2013 to 19 years, seven months behind bars. She is currently incarcerated in the minimum-security Federal Correctional Institution in Pekin and claims to be a model prisoner. But she says she suffers from hypertension and high cholesterol, her kidney function is only 56%, and that she’s undergone a hip replacement since entering prison.

If released, Crundwell plans to live on her brother’s farm, just outside of Dixon.

“My crime does not pose a danger to the community,” she said. “If I am granted home confinement, I will be very low-keyed. I am going to do everything possible to make up for my mistakes. I have taken responsibility for my actions since the first day. I spent several days and weeks working at the Rockford FBI office. I prepared the necessary files & information needed to accomplish the sale of 405 horses. Without my help, they would never have been able to locate, much less identify those horses.”

While Crundwell’s crimes were the subject of documentary, “All the Queen’s Horses,” she saw no proceeds from the film. But she says future productions are possible.

“I will do everything in my power to repay the citizens of Dixon of my crime,” she said. “I have several offers for books and movies. I have always said I would not speak to anyone until I was released, and any renumeration would go first to the City of Dixon.”

Dixon has been repaid about $10 million since the government liquidated Crundwell’s assets. She is currently making payments of $65 and $70 toward the balance.

According to the Federal Bureau of Prisons, Crundwell is eligible for release on Oct. 29, 2029.

Above is from:  http://rockrivertimes.com/2020/05/10/rita-crundwell-asks-for-early-release-from-federal-prison-wants-to-live-on-brothers-farm/

World Projections from University of Washington Study: 5-10-2020

Projections from University of Washington Study

Projected Deaths are through 8-4-2020.  Projections were supplied by IHME on 5-4--2020,

FROM:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths

Few changes in numbers from 5-4-2020.  Previous comments are still current but reflect net change from 4-28-2020 to the present.

All listed countries (with exception of Finland)  have sizeable increases in projected deaths.  This no doubt reflects the various changes in the IHME model.  The US death projection (406) now appears similar to these four high death rate  nations:   UK (608), Spain (590), Italy (521) and France (442).

The lower death projection countries are Greece (14), Norway (53), Finland (54), Germany (103), Denmark (140)  and Ireland (343).

***************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

United States of America—population 331 million (2020)

peak:  1,983 on 4-11-2020

Total Death Projected: (137,184  5-10-2020)  (134,475 5-4-2020)   (72,860 4-28-2020) (65,976 4-21-2020) (60,308 4-15-2020)   (68,841 4-10-2020)  (61,545 4-10-2020)

Deaths per million: 406.27

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UNITED KINGDOM—population 66.65 million  (2019)

peak:  ( 1,285 on  4-21-2020)1,156 on 4-13-2020

Total Death Projected (40,555  5-10-2020) (40,555 5-4-2020)  (31,476 4-28-2020)  (33,142  4-21-2020)  (37,521 4-15-2020)   (23,791 4-13-2020)  (37,494 4-10-2020)

Deaths per million: 608.48

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SWEDEN—population 10.23 million (2019)

Peak:    (204 on 5-19-2020)  (127 ON 5-1-2020) on 5-8-2020

Total Death Projected (10,196 5-10-2020)  (10,196 5-4-2020)  (15,625  4-28-2020)   (9191 4-21-2020) (15,890 4-15-2020)  (18,322  4-13-2020)  (13,259 4-10-2020)

Deaths per million:  996.68

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SPAIN—population 46.94 million (2019)

Peak;  950 on 4-1-2020

Total  Deaths Projected:  (27,727 5-10-2020) (27,727 5-4-2020) (25,329  4-28-2020) (24,624 4-21-2020)   (23,680 4-15-2020)  (18,713  4-13-2020)   (18,363  4-10-2020)

Deaths per million:  590.69

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NORWAY—population 5.368 million  (2019)

peak:  19 on 5-4-2020

Total Deaths Projected: (284 5-10-2020)  (284 5-4-2020)  (336 4-21-2020)   ( 280  4-17-2020)( 811 4-13-2020)

Deaths per million:  52,91*

*Through May4, 2020

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ITALY—population 60.36  million (2019)

peak:  969 3-27-2020

Total Deaths Projected   (31,459  5-10-2020)  (31,458 5-4-2020) (27,544  4-29-2020)  (26,600  4-21-2020) (26,007  4-17-2020) (21,130 4-13-2020) (20,333 4-10-2020)

Deaths per million:  521.17

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IRELAND—population 4.94 million  (2020)

peak:  36 on 4-7-2020

Total Deaths Projected  (1,698 5-10-2020)  (1,698 5-4-2020)  (1,404  4-28-2020) (987  4-21-2020)  (890 4-17-2020)  (527  4-13-2020) (500 4-13-2020)

Deaths per million: 343,73

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GREECE—population 10.72  (2019)

peak  11 on 4-23-2020

Total Deaths Projected (152 5-10-2020)(152 5-4-2020)   (140  4-28-2020)  (123 4-21-2020)  (119  4-17-2020)  (374  4-13-2020)

Deaths per million:  14,18

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GERMANY—population 83.02 million  (2019)

peak:  247 on 4-12-2020

Total Deaths Projected: (8,543 5-10-2020)  (8,543  5-4-2020)  (6,946   4-28-2020)   (5913  4-21-2020)  (4,957  4-17-2020)  (7,332 4-13-2020) (7,080 4-10-2020)

Deaths per million:   102.90

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FRANCE—population 65.27 million (2020)

peak:  920 on 4-6-202

Total Projected Deaths:   (28,859  5-10-2020) (28,859 5-4-2020)  (24,918  4-28-2020)  (23,104  4-21-2020)  (22,555  4-17-2020 )(17,448  4-13-2020)  (15,741  4-10-2020)

Deaths per million:  442.15

***************************************************************************************************************************************************

FINLAND—population 5.52  (2019)

peak 8 on 4-13-2020

Total Projected Deaths   (299 5-10-2020)  (299 5-4-2020)  (433  4-28-2020)  (167  4-21-2020)   (118 4-17-2020)

Deaths per million:  54.17

******************************************************************************************************************************************************

DENMARK—population 5.77 (2019)

peak 45 on 5-4-2020

Total Projected deaths (806  5-10-2020) (806 5-4-2020)  (559 4-28-2020)  (772  4-21-2020) (683  4-17-2020)(1,669 4-13-2020)

Deaths per million:  139.67

State Projections from University of Washington Study: 5-10-2020

Projections from University of Washington Study

FROM:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths

Over the last weeks the IHME model has had some major swings in death projections for a number of states. The model is driven by updated data which is imputed three times per week.  For a description and discussion of the model GO TO:  http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/03/forecasting-covid-19-impact-on-hospital.html

PROJECTION:

As of MAY 4, 2020, 2020

United States of America:  (137,184  5-10-2020) (134,475 4-5-2020)  (74,073 2-27-2020) (67,641 4-22-2020)  (60,308  4-15-2020)  (68,841 4-13-2020) (61,545 4-10-2020)  (60,415 4-8-2020)  (81,766 4-5-2020) (93,531 4-4-2020) (93,765 4-1-2020)  Deaths

>Population 331 Millions  (2020)  414,45 per million

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Arizona (2987  5-10-2020) (1,043  5-4-2020)

> 7.279 millions (2019)      410.30 per million  186% increase in projection

California (6,086  5-10-2020)  (4,666  5-4-2020) (2,017  4-27-2020)  (1719  4-22-2020) ( 1,658  4-15-2020)  (1,483  4-13-2020)(1616 4-10-2020) (1,611 4-8-2020)  (1,783   4-5-2020) (5,068 4-3-2020) (5,161 4-1-2020)

>39.56 millions (2018)   153,84 per million

Florida: (3,971 5-4-2020) (1,914  4-27-2020) (1,620  4-22-2020)  (1,363  4-15-2020) (4,748  4-13-2020)  (3999 4-10-2020) (4,357 deaths 4-8-2020) (6770 4-5-2020) (6,897 4-3-2022)(6,937 4-1-2020)

>Population  21.3 million (2018)   186.43 per million

Illinois: (7395  5-10-2020) (6,353  5-4-2020) (2316 4-27-2020) (2138  4-22-2020)  (2,259 4-15-2020)   (1,248 4-13-2020) (777 4-10-2020) (1,588 deaths 4-8-2020) (3,629 4-5-2020)(3,386  4-3-2020) (2786 4-1-2020)

>12.74 million (2018)  580,46 per million

Iowa:  (915  5-10-2020)  

>Population:  3.155 million   290.02 per milliom

Louisiana: (3,232 5-10-2020)  (2,822 5-4-2020) (2,066  4-27-2020)   (1,780  4-22-2020)  (1,685  4-15-2020) (1,141  4-13-2020)  (1,125  4-10-2020) (946 deaths 4-8-2020) 746 4-5-2020

>4.6 million (2018)   702,61  per million

Massachusetts (7545  5-10-2020)  (7,697  5-4-2020) (5,498  4-27-2020)  (4,242  4-22-2020)  (3,236  4-15-2020) (8,219  4-13-2020) (6,739  4-10-2020) (5,625 4-8-2020) 8,254 deaths

>6.9 million (2018)   1,093,48 per million

Michigan  (6,217 5-10-2020)  (7,080  5-4-2020)  (3,785  4-27-2020)

> 9.987 million (2019)        622.51 per million

MINNESOTA (2,073  5-10-2020) (2,183 5-4-2020)  (688  4-27-2020)   (360  4-22-2020) (195 4-15-2020)  (656  4-13-2020) 456 deaths 4-8-2020

>5.6 million  (2018)    370.18  per million

MISSOURI: (1,984 5-10-2020)  (1,243 5-4-2020)  (537  4-27-2020)  (438 4-22-2020) (362  4-15-2020)   (1,712 4-13-2020)  (1,161   4-10-2020)

>6.126 million    323,87 per million

NEBRASKA  (218  5-10-2020) (380  5-4-2020) (463 4-27-2020)  (347 4-22-2020)

>1.9346  million   112.69 per million

New York (31,620 5-10-2020) (32,132  5-4-2020)  (23,930 4-27-2020)  (23,232 4-22-2020)  (21,812  4-15-2020)  (14,542  4-13-2020)  (13,442  4-10-2020)  13,307 death 4-8-2020) (15,618 4-5-2020) (16,261 4-3-2020) (16,090 4-1-2020)

>19.54 million (2018)  1,618.22 per million

Ohio: (2,960 5-10-2020)  (2,552  5-4-2020)   (853  4-27-2020) (808  4-4-22-2020) (716  4-15-2020)  (482 4-13-2020) (489  4-10-2020)  (489 4-8-2020) 544

>11.69 million (2018)   253,21 per million

Pennsylvania:  (10,742  5-10-2020)  (8,607 5-4-2020) (2596  4-27-2020)  (2,770  4-22-2020)  (1,707 4-15-2020)   (2,005  4-13-2020)

>12.8 million  (2019)    839.22 per million

Texas: (2,567 5-10-2020) (3,632  5-4-2020)  (1,656  4-27-2020)  (1,241  4-22-2020)  (957  4-15-2020)  (2,704  4-13-2020)  (2,350 4-10-2020)  (2,042 4-8-2020)  (2,025 4-5-2020)

>28.7 million (2018)   89.44 per million

Virginia (1,396  5-10-2020)  (1,198 5-4-2020) (684 4-27-2020) (762 4-22-2020)  (763  4-15-2020)

> 8.536 million    163.54 per million

Washington: (1,120  5-10-2020) (1,159 5-4-2020) (841 4-27-2020)  (813 4-22-2020)  (694  4-15-2020) (855 4-13-2020)  (842 4-10-2020)  (700 4-8-2020) (632  4-5-2020) (978 4-3-2020) (1,233 4-1-2020)

>7.536 million (2018)    148.62 per million

Wisconsin:  (673 5-10-2020)  (717 5-4-2020)  (331 ^4-27-2020)   (356  4-22-2020) (302  4-15-2020)   (339  4-13-2020)  (357 4-10-2020)  (424 4-8-2020) (644 deaths 4-5-2020) (951 4-3-2020) (926 4-1-2020)

>5.814 Million (2018)    115.76 per million

May 10: 77,741 COVID-19 cases in Illinois

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, Gov. JB Pritzker has ordered Illinois residents to stay at home. Executive Order No. 10 requires all residents to stay home, with exceptions for essential needs or business activities. Gatherings of 10 people or more are prohibited. The order extends through May 30, 2020.

COVID-19

Positive (Confirmed)

77,741    +1,656

Deaths

3,406      +57

Total Tests Performed*

429,984  +13,653

Total Cases

(77,741 5-10-2020)  (76,085  5-9-2020)(73,760  5-8-2020)(70,873 5-7-2020)(68,232  5-6-2020) (65,962  5-5-2020)  (63,840  5-4-2020) (61,499 5-3-2020) (58,505  5-2-2020)  56,055 5-1-2020) (52,918  4-30-2020) (50,355  4-29-3030) (48,102 4-28-2020) (45,883  4-27-2020) (43,903  4-26-2020) ( 41,777  4-25-2020) (39,658  4-24-2020)  (36,934 ^4-23-2020)  (35,108 4-22-2020)(33,059  4-21-2020) (31,508  4-20-2020) (30,357 4-19-2020)  (29,160  4-18-2020)  (27,575  4-17-2020) (25,733  4-16-2020)  (24,593 4-15-2020)  (23,247 4-14-2020)  (22,025 4-13-2020)  (20,852 4-12-2020) (19,180 4-11-2020 ) (17,887 4-10-2020) (16,422 4-9-2020) (15,078 4-8-2020) (13,549 4-7-2020) (12,262 4-6-2020) (11,256 4-5-2020) (10,357 4/4/2020) (8,904-- 4/3/2020) (7,695-- 4/2/2020)   (6,980-- 4/1/2020) (5,994-- 3/31/2020)  (5,05--7 3/30/2020) (4,596-- 3/29/2020)

Deaths

(3,406 5-10-2020) (3349 5-9-2020) (3,241 5-8-2020) (3,111  5-7-2020)(2,974  5-6-2020) ((2,838 5-5-2020)  (2662 5-4-2020) (2,618 5-3-2020) (2,559 5-2-2020) (2,457 5-1-2020) (2,355  4-30-2020) (2,215  4-29-2020)  (2,125  4-28-2020) (1,983  4-27-2020) (1,933 4-26-2020 )(1,874  4-25-2020) 1,795  4-22-2020) (1,688  2-23-2020) (1,585 4-22-2020) (1,468  4-21-2020) (1,349 4-20-2020)(1,290 4-18-2020)  (1,259  4-18-2020) (1,134  4-17-2020) (1,072  4-16-2020) (948 4-15-2020)  (866 4-14-2020) (794 4-13-2020)  (720 4-12-2020) (677 4-11-2020)(596 4-10-2020) (528 4-9-2020) (462 4-8-2020) (380 4-7-2020)(307 4-6-2020) (274 4-5-2020) (243—4-4-2020) (210-- 4-3-2020) (157 4-2-2020)(141 4/1/2020) (99 3/31/2020) (73 3/30/2020)  (65 3/29/2020)

Total Persons Tested*

(429,984  5-10-2020) (416,331 5-9-2020)  (399,714 5-8-2020)  (379,033 5-7-2020)(361,260 5-6-2020) (346,286 5-5-20200 (333,147  5-4-2020) (319,313  5-3-2020) (299,892 5-2-2020)  (284,688  5-1-2020) (269,867 4-30-2020) (256,667  4-29-2020) (242,189  4-28-2020) (227,628  4-27-2020) (214,952 4-26-2020) (201,617 4-25-2020) (186,219  4-24-2020)(173,316 4-23-2020) (164,346 4-22-2020)  (154,997  4-21-2020) (148,358 4-20-2020) (143,318 4-19-2020)  (137,404  4-18-2020) (130,163  4-17-2020)  (122,589  4-16-2020)  (116,929 4-15-2020) (110,616 4-14-2020)  (105,768 4-13-2020) (100,735 4-12-2020) (92,779 4-11-2020) (87,527 4-10-2020) (86,857 4-9-2020) (75,066 4-8-2020) (68,732 4-7-2020) (62,942 4-6-2020) (58,983 4-5-2020) (53,581—4-4-2020)  (48,048-- 4-3-2020) (43,653-- 4/2/2020) (40,384-- 4/1/2020) (35,225-- 3-31-2020) (30,446-- 3/30/2020)  (27,762-- 3/29/2020)

_{*Total number of people reported electronically for testing of COVID-19 at IDPH, commercial or hospital laboratories. Deaths are included in the number of positive cases
All numbers displayed are provisional and subject to change.}

Information to be updated daily.

Above is from: http://www.dph.illinois.gov/covid19/covid19-statistics

*****************************************************************************************************************************

PROJECTIONS from:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths Now being updated three times per week.

HUGE INCREASE IN PROJECTED DEATHS    For discussion go to: http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/05/ihme-model-nearly-doubles-death.html

Total COVID-19 deaths projected through August 4, 2020 in Illinois (7395  5-10-2020)(6,353 5-4-2020)  (2,337  4-29-2020)   (2,316 4-27-2020)  (2093 4-21-2020) (2,259 4-15-2020) (1248 4-13-2020)

(777 4-10-2020)  (1,584  4-8-2020) (3,629 4-5-2020)(3,386 4-2-2020) (2,789 4-1-2020)  (2,326  3-31-2020)  (2,369 as of 3/30/2020)  (2,454 AS OF 3-26-2020)

COVID-19 deaths   Peak deaths  (95 deaths on 4-19-2020)               Previously (91 deaths on 4-12-2020)  (208 on 4-12-2020) (109 on 4-20-2020)

Illinois Population:  12.74 million        Projected deaths per million: 498.67

For a lengthier discussion of the projection model go to:  http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/03/forecasting-covid-19-impact-on-hospital.html and http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/05/why-imhs-corvid-19-model-is-so-wrong.html

BOONE COUNTY

BELVIDERE (WREX) -- 17 new cases of COVID-19 were reported in Boone County Sunday, as well as another death at Symphony Northwoods.

The death is the eighth at the long-term care facility and the 12th in the county overall.

A total of 69 people at Symphony Northwoods have tested positive for the novel coronavirus, including 49 residents and 20 staff.

The county also surpassed 200 total positive cases of the virus.

36 people have recovered from the virus, according to the county's health department.

Josh Morgan

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This page summarizes the latest data for COVID-19 in McHenry County. This data is provisional and subject to change.

McHenry County Cases

---

940

Source: McHenry County Department of Health

McHenry County Deaths

---

50

McHenry County

---

---

---

---

---

---

Above is from:  https://mchenry-county-coronavirus-response-mchenrycountygis.hub.arcgis.com/

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.

WINNEBAGO COUNTY (WREX) — The Winnebago County Health Department is reporting 32 new COVID-19 cases Sunday.

The county now has surpassed 900 cases with a total of 926. The county's number of deaths still sits at 26.

The county said 206 people have recovered from the virus so far.

There is a total of 5,239 negative tests in Winnebago County.

Devin Brooks

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Cases in U.S.

• 
  

Updated  May 10, 2020

U.S. At A Glance

As of May 9, 2020

Total Cases^*

1,300,696  +26,660

Total Deaths  

78,771   +1,637

This page will be updated daily. Numbers close out at 4 p.m. the day before reporting

***On Saturday and Sunday, the numbers in COVID-19: U.S. at a Glance and the figure describing the cumulative total number of COVID-departments. CDC will update weekend numbers the following Monday to reflect health department updates.***

CDC is responding to an outbreak of respiratory illness caused by a novel (new) coronavirus. The outbreak first started in Wuhan, China, but cases have been identified in a growing number of other locations internationally, including the United States. In addition to CDC, many public health laboratories are now testing for the virus that causes COVID-19.

COVID-19: U.S. at a Glance*†

• Total cases  (1,300,696  5-10-2020) (1,274,036  5-9-2020) (1,248,040 5-8-2020) (1,219,066  5-7-2020)(1,193,813  5-6-2020) (1,171,510 5-5-2020)  (1,152,372 5-4-2020 )(1,092,815 5-2-2020)   (1,062,446  5-1-2020)(1,031,659  4-30-2020)  (1,005,147  4-28-2020) (957,875  4-27-2020) (928,619  4-26-2020)  (895,766  4-25-2020)   (865,585 4-24-2020)   (829,441   4-23-2020) (802,583  4-22-2020) (776,093 4-21-2020) (746,625 4-20-2020) (720,630 4-19-2020)  (661,712 4-17-2020)  (632,548 4-16-2020)  (605,390 4-15-2020) (579,005 4-14-2020)  (554,849 4-13-2020) (525,704 4-12-2020)  (492,416 4-11-2020)(459,165 4-10-2020) (427,460 4-9-2020) (395,011 4-8-2020)(374,329 4-7-2020) (330,891 4-6-2020) (304,826 4-5-2020) (277,205 4-4-2020) (239,279 4-3-2020) (213,144 4/2/2020)(186,101 4/1/2020) (163,539 3/31/2020) (140,904 3/30/2020)   (122,653  3-29-2020)
• Total deaths (78,771  5-10-2020) (77,034  5-9-2020) (75,477  5-8-2020) (73,297  5-7-2020) (70,802 5-6-2020)  (68,279 5-5-2020) (67,456  5-4-2020)  (64,283  5-2-2020)  (62,405 5-1-2020)  (60,057  4-30-2020) (57,505  4-28-2020)  (53,922 4-27-2020) (52,459  4-26-2020)  (50,439 4-25-2020) (48,816  4-24-2020) (46,379 4-23-2020) (44,575 4-22-2020)  (41,759 4-21-2020) (39,083 4-20-2020)  (37,202 4-19-2020)  (33,049 4-17-2020)  (31,071 4-16-2020) (24,582 4-15-2020) (22,252 4-14-2020) (21,942 4-13-2020)  (20,486 4-12-2020)  (18,559 4-11-2020) (16,570 4-10-2020) (14,696 4-9-2020) (12,754 4-8-2020) (12,064 4-7-2020) (8,910 4-6-2020)(7,616 4-5-2020)  (6, 593 4-4-2020) (5,443 4-3-2020) (4,513 4-2-2020) (3,603 4-1-2020) (2,860 3/31/2020) (2,405 3/30/2020)   (2,112  3-29-2020)
• Jurisdictions reporting cases: 55 (50 states, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Guam, Northern Marianas, and US Virgin Islands)

^* Data include both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan. State and local public health departments are now testing and publicly reporting their cases. In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date.

† Numbers updated Saturday and Sunday are not confirmed by state and territorial health departments. These numbers will be modified when numbers are updated on Monday.(

Cases of COVID-19 Reported in the US, by Source of Exposure*†

^* Data include both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan. State and local public health departments are now testing and publicly reporting their cases. In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date.

† CDC is no longer reporting the number of persons under investigation (PUIs) that have been tested, as well as PUIs that have tested negative. Now that states are testing and reporting their own results, CDC’s numbers are not representative of all testing being done nationwide.

Above is from:  https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

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Now being updated three times per week.

HUGE INCREASE IN PROJECTED DEATHS    For discussion go to: http://boonecountywatchdog.blogspot.com/2020/05/ihme-model-nearly-doubles-death.html

PROJECTIONS:   US COVID-19 Deaths thru 8-4-2020) (137,184  5-10-2020) (134,475 5-4-2020)  (72,433   4-29-2020)  (74,073 4-27-2020) (65,976 4-21-2020)  (60,308 4-15-2020) (68,841 4-13-2020)  (61,543 4-10-2020) (60,415 4-8-2020) (81,766 4-5-2020) (93,531 4/3/2020) (93,765 4/1/2020)   (83.967 3/31/2020)    ( 82,141 3/30/2020);  Peak Daily    (2150 4-13-2020)

Older Peak Daily Deaths (2,212 on 4-12-2010)  (1,983 on 4-11-2020)  (2,644 on 4-16-2020)(3,130 on 4-16-2020) ( 2214 on 3/31/2020) (2,214 on 3/31/2 020) (2,271 3/30/2020)

US Population:  331 million    Projected deaths per million: 406.27

FROM:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths Now being updated three times per week

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COVID-19 Tracker   Great site to find specific county, state, country numbers is at:  https://bing.com/covid?form=msntrk  Site supplies case numbers, recovered cases and deaths by country and US state.

World population: 7.8  BILLION

4,091,297

Active cases

2,410,331

+47,170

Recovered cases

1,398,862

+35,630

Fatal cases

282,104

+3,96

Syringes and much more may be in short supply

Supply chain headache? Hundreds of millions of syringes will be needed to vaccinate U.S.

Laura Strickler and Sarah Fitzpatrick

,

NBC News•May 8, 2020

514 Comments

Supply chain headache? Hundreds of millions of syringes will be needed to vaccinate U.S.

The CEO of the world's largest manufacturer of syringes said this week “unless we act now there won't be enough capacity” to quickly ramp up production to 1 billion syringes for an expected COVID-19 vaccine because of “extreme surge demand,” adding a potential new wrinkle to the overtaxed medical supply chain.

Becton Dickinson is in “active conversations” with the federal government on the COVID-19 response, said Troy Kirkpatrick, a spokesman for the company said. He added that CEO Thomas Polen, who made his comments in a Thursday earnings call, was concerned that governments globally think ahead.

“Waiting until a vaccine is available will be too late," Kirkpatrick said. "There is not capacity in the global industry to manufacture hundreds of millions or billions of syringes and needles in a month or two.”

The warning reinforces that of federal government whistleblower Dr. Rick Bright, who said in his complaint that he raised the issue with his superiors at the Department of Health and Human Services earlier this year, telling them the nation’s stockpile “contains approximately 15 million needles and syringes, a mere 2% of the required amount.”

In a March 12 email to colleagues bolstering his complaint, Bright wrote: “It could take two plus years to make enough to satisfy the US vaccine needs for a pandemic. We need to hold on to all that we have and look at surging supplies now from producers.”

In a Feb. 14 memo, Peter Navarro, the White House director of trade and manufacturing policy, wrote the COVID-19 task force, saying experts estimated the country would need 850 million syringes to deliver a potential vaccine. Vaccine experts say two doses of the vaccine might be required.

Dr. Dan Hanfling, a vice president at In-Q-Tel who advised the Bush and Obama administrations on emergency preparedness, said Bright’s concern is not new.

“The issue of needle and syringe shortages as a part of the supply chain needed to ensure timely delivery of medical countermeasures has been on the radar screen for a long while,” Hanfling said. "If delivery systems are not available, how do we get medical countermeasures into the arms of those who will need them?”

NBC News has confirmed the Department of Health and Human Services signed contracts with two companies for $111 million on May 1 for “a COVID-19 Mass Vaccination Campaign,” according to federal purchase orders. The contracts were first reported by Bloomberg Law.

During a typical year the influenza vaccine requires 160 million doses for about half of the U.S. adult population, according to Kim Elmore, senior director of pharmacy contracting for Premier Inc., a group purchasing company for health care providers across the country.

To meet the demand for a possible vaccine, she said that figure would have to be doubled.

“You can’t make it all at once,” she said.

Above is from:  https://www.yahoo.com/news/supply-chain-headache-hundreds-millions-012954090.html

Premier estimates the syringe manufacturers could absorb an extra increase of 10 million before they would have to boost their capacity.

An HHS official told NBC News it would be premature to speculate on what might be needed because it's too early to know what form a vaccine might take.

“For example, we don’t know if successful vaccines would be injected or oral (as a pill or liquid), or if injected, how many doses each person would need to get," the official said. "When a safe, effective vaccine becomes available, doses will be manufactured over a period of time, so ancillary supplies will be needed over time rather than all on day one, which aids manufacturers in meeting the need."

Hospital leaders said needle and syringe shortages were not yet an immediate issue but a known potential problem. They said if a vaccine was developed in the near future, supply chain issues could result in a lack of syringes to administer a vaccine and place “a substantial strain on the American health care system."

The pharmaceutical trade group PhRMA says the industry is prepared either way.

“As a matter of course, innovative biopharmaceutical companies have comprehensive contingency plans as part []of their overall supply chain planning, meaning that during unforeseen events biopharmaceutical companies are able to redirect resources from other manufacturing,” a spokesperson said.

Both Becton Dickinson and Cardinal Health, the other major syringe manufacturer, say they have already ramped up production.

Becton Dickinson's Kirkpatrick said the company is anticipating juggling multiple demands and “extreme surge demand for these products, including an expected surge for flu vaccinations next season given forecasts of a potential second wave of COVID-19 in the fall.”

Any sudden surge in demand for syringes would put even more pressure on a health care supply chain system that is already experiencing “unprecedented” pressure.

For example, in a normal year the federal government proactively places health care products on an “allocation list,” which limits how much can be purchased by a health care provider to prevent hoarding.

Currently, about 350 types of syringes are on the list.

In a typical year, upwards of 1,800 items are on the allocation list. Now, according to Premier Inc., there are more than 10,000.