Projections from University of Washington Study
Projected Deaths are through 8-4-2020. Projections were supplied by IHME on 4-28-2020,
FROM: http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths
Sweden’s projected deaths per million rose from 898 to 1,527 per million, Sweden has no required restrictions. Other high death projections are UK (472), Spain (539), Italy (456) and France (382).
Greece, Norway,Finland and Germany are the ultra low all below 84 deaths per million population. Rising from there are Denmark (97), Ireland (284) and USA (220) .
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United States of America—population 331 million (2020)
peak: 1,983 on 4-11-2020
Total Death Projected: (72,860 4-28-2020) (65,976 4-21-2020) (60,308 4-15-2020) (68,841 4-10-2020) (61,545 4-10-2020)
Deaths per million: 220,12
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UNITED KINGDOM—population 66.65 million (2019)
peak: ( 1,285 on 4-21-2020)1,156 on 4-13-2020
Total Death Projected (31,476 4-28-2020) (33,142 4-21-2020) (37,521 4-15-2020) (23,791 4-13-2020) (37,494 4-10-2020)
Deaths per million: 472.26
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SWEDEN—population 10.23 million (2019)
Peak: (204 on 5-19-2020) (127 ON 5-1-2020) on 5-8-2020
Total Death Projected (15,625 4-28-2020) (9191 4-21-2020) (15,890 4-15-2020) (18,322 4-13-2020) (13,259 4-10-2020)
Deaths per million: 1,527.37
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SPAIN—population 46.94 million (2019)
Peak; 950 on 4-1-2020
Total Deaths Projected: (25,329 4-28-2020) (24,624 4-21-2020) (23,680 4-15-2020) (18,713 4-13-2020) (18,363 4-10-2020)
Deaths per million: 539.60
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NORWAY—population 5.368 million (2019)
peak: 19 on 5-4-2020
Total Deaths Projected: (336 4-21-2020) ( 280 4-17-2020)( 811 4-13-2020)
Deaths per million: 50.86*
*Through May4, 2020
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ITALY—population 60.36 million (2019)
peak: 969 3-27-2020
Total Deaths Projected: (27,544 4-29-2020) (26,600 4-21-2020) (26,007 4-17-2020) (21,130 4-13-2020) (20,333 4-10-2020)
Deaths per million: 456.33
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IRELAND—population 4.94 million (2020)
peak: 36 on 4-7-2020
Total Deaths Projected: (1,404 4-28-2020) (987 4-21-2020) (890 4-17-2020) (527 4-13-2020) (500 4-13-2020)
Deaths per million: 284.21
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GREECE—population 10.72 (2019)
peak 11 on 4-23-2020
Total Deaths Projected (140 4-28-2020) (123 4-21-2020) (119 4-17-2020) (374 4-13-2020)
Deaths per million: 13.06
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GERMANY—population 83.02 million (2019)
peak: 247 on 4-12-2020
Total Deaths Projected: (6,946 4-28-2020) (5913 4-21-2020) (4,957 4-17-2020) (7,332 4-13-2020) (7,080 4-10-2020)
Deaths per million: 83.67
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FRANCE—population 65.27 million (2020)
peak: 920 on 4-6-202
Total Projected Deaths: (24,918 4-28-2020) (23,104 4-21-2020) (22,555 4-17-2020 )(17,448 4-13-2020) (15,741 4-10-2020)
Deaths per million: 381.77
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FINLAND—population 5.52 (2019)
peak 8 on 4-13-2020
Total Projected Deaths: (433 4-28-2020) (167 4-21-2020) (118 4-17-2020)
Deaths per million: 78.44
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DENMARK—population 5.77 (2019)
peak 45 on 5-4-2020
Total Projected deaths (559 4-28-2020) (772 4-21-2020) (683 4-17-2020)(1,669 4-13-2020)
Deaths per million: 96.88