Saturday, April 11, 2020

World Projections from University of Washington Study: 4-10-2020

Projections from University of Washington Study

Projected Deaths are through 8-4-2020.  Projections were supplied by IHME on 4-10-2020,

FROM:  http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths
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US (186 deaths per million) is third lowest of the nine Western countries shown below.  Germany (85 deaths per million) and Ireland (101 per million) are considerably lower. Sweden (1296) is very extremely high as is United Kingdom (562).


United States of America—population 331 million (2020)

peak:  1,983 on 4-11-2020

Total Death Projected: 61,545 4-10-2020  Deaths per million: 185.94

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UNITED KINGDOM—population 66.65 million  (2019)

peak:  1,674 on 4-17-2020

Total Death Projected: 37,494   Deaths per million: 562.55

SWEDEN—population 10.23 million (2019)

Peak:  379 on 5-4-2020

Total Death Projected 13,259  Deaths per million:  1,296.09

SPAIN—population 46.94 million (2019)

Peak;  950 on 4-1-2020

Total  Deaths Projected:  18,363  Deaths per million:  391.20

NORWAY—population 5.368 million  (2019)

peak:  24 on 4-23-2020

Total Deaths Projected:  925 Deaths per million:  172.32

ITALY—population 60.36 million (2019)

peak:  969 3-27-2020

Total Deaths Projected:  20,333 Deaths per million:  336.86

IRELAND—population 4.94 million  (2020)

peak:  36 on 4-7-2020

Total Deaths Projected:  500  Deaths per million: 101.21

GERMANY—population 83.02 million  (2019)

peak:  247 on 4-12-2020

Total Deaths Projected:   7,080 Deaths per million:  85.28

FRANCE—population 65.27 million (2020)

peak:  920 on 4-6-2020

Total Projected Deaths:  15,741 Deaths per million:  241.17

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